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OPINION

Foreign aid, the powerful US soft power, is gone

Oped, Jeffrey Frankel, Published on 23/05/2025

» 'Don't it always seem to go, that you don't know what you've got 'til it's gone." When Joni Mitchell sang that line in 1970, she was lamenting the destruction of the environment, but the sentiment applies to many issues. Today, we can add official development assistance (ODA) to the list.

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OPINION

A 'retrospective' on Trump's first year back in job

Oped, Jeffrey Frankel, Published on 16/01/2025

» Predictions about 2025 come with flashing caveats: no one can know what US President-elect Donald Trump will do, let alone how the rest of the world will respond. But one can speculate. Imagine it is January 2026.

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OPINION

Elon Musk and his US$2 trillion fiscal fantasy

News, Jeffrey Frankel, Published on 27/11/2024

» When the US presidential election was called for Donald Trump, the yield on ten-year US government bonds increased from 4.3% to 4.4%, and the 30-year-bond yield rose from 4.5% to 4.6%, with both remaining at those levels ten days later. As the bond market declined -- higher yields mean lower prices -- the stock market rose. Clearly, investors expect the next Trump administration to produce higher government budget deficits and more debt.

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OPINION

Why do some countries prosper while others falter?

News, Jeffrey Frankel, Published on 06/11/2024

» Why have some countries grown rich and others not? The three winners of this year's Nobel Prize in Economic Sciences -- Daron Acemoglu, Simon Johnson, and James A Robinson -- offer a simple answer: institutions. Countries with "inclusive" institutions -- which underpin an open society, accountable government, economic freedom, and the rule of law -- do better than those with "extractive" institutions that reward those in power.

OPINION

Levy on China's cleantech hurts green transition

Oped, Jeffrey Frankel, Published on 27/06/2024

» With historic heat waves sweeping across the United States and other parts of the Northern Hemisphere, June is expected to be the 13th consecutive month of record-breaking global temperatures. The primary cause, of course, is the enormous amount of greenhouse gases (GHGs) in the atmosphere. Despite the threat posed by rising atmospheric concentrations of GHGs, emissions continue to increase at a faster pace than previously anticipated.

OPINION

Europe's carbon border tax fights climate change

Oped, Jeffrey Frankel, Published on 29/05/2024

» The European Union's Carbon Border Adjustment Mechanism (CBAM), officially launched in October, now requires importers to report on the direct and indirect greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions embedded in the goods they import. Beginning in January 2026, the EU will start imposing tariffs on imports from countries that do not price carbon at the bloc's market rate, which could significantly affect carbon-intensive producers among its trading partners.

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OPINION

How elections bring about a cycle of devaluation

Oped, Jeffrey Frankel, Published on 01/05/2024

» The proposition that major currency devaluations are more likely to come immediately after, rather than before, an election is being tested anew. In the biggest voting year in history, the implications could be far-reaching.

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OPINION

Is a global recession really coming up?

Oped, Jeffrey Frankel, Published on 19/01/2023

» The world's leading economists spent most of 2022 convincing themselves that, if the global economy was not already in a recession, it was about to fall into one. But with the year 2022 end, the global slump has been postponed to the present 2023.

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OPINION

Let the WTO referee carbon border taxes

Oped, Jeffrey Frankel, Published on 08/12/2022

» Perhaps the most important task confronting the international order is the enforcement of national limits on greenhouse-gas emissions, such as those that were negotiated in the 2015 Paris agreement. Carbon border adjustments could give these limits teeth, but fair application requires a revived World Trade Organization.

OPINION

The secret of the greenback's appreciation

News, Jeffrey Frankel, Published on 24/09/2022

» Despite rampant inflation and slowing growth, the US dollar keeps going from strength to strength. Since May last year, the greenback has risen by 28% against the yen and 20% against the pound. In addition, it has appreciated 19% against the euro, reaching parity for the first time since 2002.