• OPINION

  Financial crisis looms over Thailand

  Oped, Chartchai Parasuk, Published on 25/01/2024

  » The definition of an "economic crisis" is much debated in Thailand. This is because one of the requirements for enacting the emergency fiscal borrowing decree is that the economy must be in crisis.

• OPINION

  Is it all the Bank of Thailand's fault?

  News, Chartchai Parasuk, Published on 12/09/2019

  » Currently, the two most pressing economic issues in Thailand are the appreciation of the baht and the high level of household debt.

• OPINION

  2024 financial crisis may be a silent one

  Oped, Chartchai Parasuk, Published on 04/04/2024

  » When an economy faces a financial crisis, it can create a big bang like the mass collapse of financial institutions such as during the Great Depression of the 1930s, the Thai Tum Yum Kung crisis of 1997, the Japanese financial crisis in late 1997, and the US Hamburger crisis of 2008.

• OPINION

  Structural flaws impede our economy

  Oped, Chartchai Parasuk, Published on 21/03/2024

  » It took Japan 17 years to learn that a macroeconomic policy is for stabilising an economy, not stimulating growth. Due to low economic growth in the "lost decade" following the financial crisis in the autumn of 1997, the Bank of Japan adopted an unthinkable monetary policy of a negative interest rate in 2007 by pushing the short-term policy rate down to -0.1%.

• OPINION

  Time to stop making empty promises

  Oped, Chartchai Parasuk, Published on 07/03/2024

  » The Nikkei 225 Index just broke 40,000, surpassing the record high of 1989. The stellar stock market performance happened amid the fact that Japan's economy is officially in recession after two consecutive quarters of negative GDP growth.

• OPINION

  Will foreign investors still be wooed?

  Oped, Chartchai Parasuk, Published on 28/12/2023

  » This is my last article for 2023. Appropriately, I should write about the 2024 economic outlook but I have decided to postpone that to be the first article of 2024 as the analysis might be too unpleasant to digest right now. However, I will leave a "teaser" for readers to ponder over during the long holidays. As such, I am left with two choices: an article about informal debt -- I estimate outstanding debt to be over 400 billion baht and that it could have strong ties with grey money -- or an article about Thailand's ability to attract foreign investors, as our Prime Minister Srettha Thavisin travels all over the world to attract them. In the end, I opted for the latter.

• OPINION

  Reviving Thai economy is a tall order

  Oped, Chartchai Parasuk, Published on 27/07/2023

  » By the time readers read this article, Thailand still does not have a real government. But judging from the game being played, it is not too hard to guess which party will lead a new government.

• OPINION

  Getting ready for a new economic era

  Oped, Chartchai Parasuk, Published on 01/06/2023

  » Admittedly, I did not vote for Move Forward Party (MFP). I did like the idea of pro-democracy, equality for all, people-centric policies, and de-monopolisation, all of which they espouse.

• OPINION

  Changing Thailand: a series (prologue)

  Oped, Chartchai Parasuk, Published on 23/02/2023

  » Before I start talking economic jargon filled with figures, let me explain Thailand's economic situation in plain language.

• OPINION

  Thai economic prospects far from rosy

  Oped, Chartchai Parasuk, Published on 09/02/2023

  » Logically, one would imagine that 2023 would be a much better year than 2022. Covid is over in every corner of the earth and economic activities resume. The world oil price is below US$80 (2,677 baht) per barrel and inflation is coming down. At the first meeting of 2023, the Fed raises interest rates to merely 25 basis points as opposed to the 50-75 basis points for each meeting in 2022.

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