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  • OPINION

    Is a global recession really coming up?

    Oped, Jeffrey Frankel, Published on 19/01/2023

    » The world's leading economists spent most of 2022 convincing themselves that, if the global economy was not already in a recession, it was about to fall into one. But with the year 2022 end, the global slump has been postponed to the present 2023.

  • OPINION

    Let the WTO referee carbon border taxes

    Oped, Jeffrey Frankel, Published on 08/12/2022

    » Perhaps the most important task confronting the international order is the enforcement of national limits on greenhouse-gas emissions, such as those that were negotiated in the 2015 Paris agreement. Carbon border adjustments could give these limits teeth, but fair application requires a revived World Trade Organization.

  • OPINION

    International trade: Is it a help or a hindrance?

    Oped, Jeffrey Frankel, Published on 22/06/2022

    » Leading economies have been afflicted with new problems over the past year. The United States is struggling with both supply-chain blockages and a critical shortage of baby formula. The European Union faces the threat of scarce energy supplies, owing to sanctions on Russian fossil-fuel exports. And almost all countries are experiencing high inflation.

  • OPINION

    Get ready for 'reverse currency wars' phenomenon

    News, Jeffrey Frankel, Published on 06/06/2022

    » The US dollar is up 12% against the euro over the past year and, at €0.93 (34.22 baht), is approaching parity. If prices of oil and other commodities now seem high in dollar terms, they look even higher in euros. With the greenback surging, and inflation in many countries currently at multi-decade highs, we may be entering so-called "reverse currency wars" -- in which countries compete to strengthen their currencies' foreign-exchange values.

  • OPINION

    El Salvador's Bitcoin bet is a dangerous folly

    News, Jeffrey Frankel, Published on 30/09/2021

    » El Salvador this month became the first country to adopt a cryptocurrency -- in this case, Bitcoin -- as legal tender. I say the first, because others might follow. But they should think twice, because the idea is highly dubious -- and likely to be economically dangerous for developing countries in particular.

  • OPINION

    The connection between Covid-19 and climate

    Oped, Jeffrey Frankel, Published on 02/10/2020

    » From early on in the Covid-19 pandemic, a common refrain has been, "At least maybe now we will get serious about addressing climate change." One can certainly see the logic behind this thinking. The terrible toll the pandemic has taken should remind us of the importance of three things that are also necessary to tackle global warming: science, public policy, and international cooperation.

  • OPINION

    So what exactly's in a recession?

    Oped, Jeffrey Frankel, Published on 26/06/2020

    » On June 8, the Business Cycle Dating Committee of the National Bureau of Economic Research declared that economic activity in the United States had peaked in February 2020, formally marking the start of a recession. But we already knew that we were in a recession that had likely begun around that date. So, why does the NBER's formal declaration matter?

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