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OPINION

Zombie banking deepens economic woes

News, Chartchai Parasuk, Published on 19/09/2024

» This is the second of three articles, following the earlier article "Problems with Dr Thaksin's Visions". The series will end with an article titled "Call for a paradigm shift".

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OPINION

Thaksin's 'vision' might be outdated

News, Chartchai Parasuk, Published on 05/09/2024

» This article is not meant to diminish the brilliance of the spiritual leader of the Pheu Thai Party, former prime minister Thaksin Shinawatra. It is to demonstrate that, despite his immense knowledge and vast experience, Thailand's current economic problems are caused by structural deficiencies and cannot be resolved by traditional stimulus measures. One needs a good understanding of economic principles to approach the problems correctly.

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OPINION

Q2 GDP growth may be misleading

News, Chartchai Parasuk, Published on 22/08/2024

» I eagerly awaited the release of the Q2/2024 GDP growth figure which became available on Monday. The 2.3% growth figure, presented by the Office of the National Economic and Social Development Council (NESDC), did not surprise me. A friend had warned me that the quarterly growth could be as high as 2.5%, even though my estimation for the quarter was only 1.0%.

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OPINION

Digital wallet tokens could hit scheme

Oped, Chartchai Parasuk, Published on 08/08/2024

» I bet the government never thought of this when they thought of the Digital Wallet scheme. It probably does not make sense to it that there could be millions of people shunning pseudo money, namely Digital Wallet Tokens (DWTs). Perhaps, in the government's mind, a DWT is almost on a par with genuine money -- fiat money.

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OPINION

Digital wallet scheme poses credit risk

Oped, Chartchai Parasuk, Published on 25/07/2024

» During the debate on the extra-fiscal budget for 2024 of 1.22 billion baht to fund the digital wallet (DW) scheme, the government presented the bright side of the figurative coin. This article will present the dark side of the scheme.

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OPINION

Banks that don't want money bode ill

News, Chartchai Parasuk, Published on 11/07/2024

» When is the last time readers experienced a situation like this? One takes money to deposit in a bank and the bank says please take your money elsewhere as we have no use for it. Such an unusual situation is happening in Thailand at this moment. Thai banks are reducing their credit portfolios and, consequently, reducing their needs for funding.

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OPINION

How to finance the 2025 fiscal budget

Oped, Chartchai Parasuk, Published on 27/06/2024

» The 2025 fiscal budget is supposed to be historic, aiming to turn around the sagging Thai economy. But it is going by almost unnoticed. The first reading of the Budget Bill passed with an overwhelming "yes" vote of 311 to 175. The debates were subdued and made few headlines. The second vote is expected on Aug 3. After passing the third vote by the House of Representatives, the 2025 budget will go to the Senate for final approval.

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OPINION

Digital wallet scheme hits another snag

Oped, Chartchai Parasuk, Published on 13/06/2024

» The new financing problem of the 10,000-baht cash handout, commonly known as the Digital Wallet Scheme (DW), has not made much noise in the media. This may be because the government wants this to be a non-issue, but in reality, it is a serious one that could wreck the entire scheme.

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OPINION

20 years of errors can't be fixed easily

Oped, Chartchai Parasuk, Published on 30/05/2024

» I have a strong feeling that piecemeal measures are what the economy is going to get from the government to combat Thailand's long-standing economic problems.

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OPINION

Stark reality behind economic figures

Oped, Chartchai Parasuk, Published on 16/05/2024

» At the time of writing this, the official Q1 GDP has not been announced by the National Economic and Social Development Council (NESDC). I expect the growth figure will be around 1.2%. My own estimation, using the Output Approach and actual sectoral production index, gives a growth figure of 0.98%. Detailed data are in the below table.