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OPINION

A tale of liquidity and (too much) debt

Oped, Chartchai Parasuk, Published on 05/10/2023

» Before starting the article, I want to convey a message to the government. The message is "Nothing is free; everything has to be paid for". Acting like Santa Claus is nice, but the government should be aware that every handout gift comes with a price tag.

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OPINION

When times get tough, Thais party

News, Chartchai Parasuk, Published on 07/09/2023

» Today's article is far from being sarcastic towards or mocking Thais. On the contrary, it explains the current weakness of the economy and, more importantly, the serious implications for the effectiveness of the government's economic stimulus packages. So, this article is recommended reading for the new economic team.

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OPINION

Whoever takes office will inherit a mess

Oped, Chartchai Parasuk, Published on 15/06/2023

» The election result is clear and the MOU to form a 312-seat government in the 500-seat parliament is agreed. But who will lead Thailand and its economy for the next four years is unclear. Whether it will be a pro-equality government, pro-growth government, or even a pro-big-spending government remains in doubt.

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OPINION

New govt faces 4 economic time bombs

Oped, Chartchai Parasuk, Published on 18/05/2023

» The election result is already out and Thailand is heading for a big policy change. As the party with most seats, the Move Forward Party will form the government. The second place-getter -- the Pheu Thai Party -- has agreed to be in the coalition. These two parties, however, have totally different views on how to run the economy.

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OPINION

World faces prospect of financial tumult

Oped, Chartchai Parasuk, Published on 23/03/2023

» Today, I was supposed to present the third article, Managing Household Debt, in the series "Changing Thailand". In fact, I have finished drafting a payment reduction model which could reduce monthly debt payments by 4.6 times without the hair-cutting debt principal or requiring government financial support. But I will delay that article for now.

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OPINION

Changing Thailand: a series (prologue)

Oped, Chartchai Parasuk, Published on 23/02/2023

» Before I start talking economic jargon filled with figures, let me explain Thailand's economic situation in plain language.

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OPINION

B600 minimum wage is quite doable

Oped, Chartchai Parasuk, Published on 15/12/2022

» The most debated economic topic of the month must be Pheu Thai Party's campaign promise to raise the minimum wage to 600 baht per day by 2027, from the current minimum wage of 354 baht.

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OPINION

How are Thais spending so much now?

Oped, Chartchai Parasuk, Published on 01/12/2022

» Third-quarter GDP growth for 2022 (Q3/2022) is 4.5% -- substantially higher than the expected 4%. The main driving factor is robust private consumption -- not tourism income -- which expanded 9% in real terms and 15.7% in nominal terms, compared to the same quarter last year. On the surface, this high growth phenomenon may look normal as most Asean countries have enjoyed similar benefits of low Covid infections and pent-up demand. For instance, Malaysia's private consumption also expanded 15.7% in the same third quarter.

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OPINION

Risk of global financial crisis spiking

Oped, Chartchai Parasuk, Published on 03/11/2022

» I am writing this article in Tokyo. Judging from my walks around the city during the past week, and despite the fact everyone is wearing face masks, it's like Covid has vanished. Subways and trains are jam-packed and shopping areas are full of people. However, the pandemic has left some scars. Many shops have gone under, including my favourite 50-year-old sushi restaurant.

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OPINION

Interest gap could spell economic peril

Oped, Chartchai Parasuk, Published on 06/10/2022

» On a recent Monday, the Fed called an emergency meeting. The discussion topics were not made known. Could it possibly be about turmoil in the UK bond market and the financial troubles of large investment banks? At this fragile time, the world cannot afford another Lehman Brothers-type disaster.