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OPINION

2024 GDP forecast is wishful thinking

Oped, Chartchai Parasuk, Published on 14/12/2023

» If one thinks 2023 was a not-so-good year for the Thai economy because GDP growth is likely below 2%, 2024 could be worse owing to three major economic risks: liquidity inadequacy, high gasoline price, and high electricity cost.

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OPINION

A 4-win solution to the handout plan

News, Chartchai Parasuk, Published on 30/11/2023

» There could be a four-win solution to the 10,000-baht cash handout scheme.

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OPINION

Liquidity shortage a big risk for govt

News, Chartchai Parasuk, Published on 16/11/2023

» Liquidity is the most ignored issue in economics. Liquidity is considered to be like "oxygen" which is readily available when needed and, thus, has no intrinsic value.

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OPINION

Dear Santa: Please send $14 billion

Oped, Chartchai Parasuk, Published on 02/11/2023

» What Thailand needs is money, money -- and money. The government needs 560 billion baht to run its 10,000 baht cash handout programme next year, and the country needs (at least) 420 billion baht to prevent the 4th quarter economy from collapsing.

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OPINION

Better options to govt's cash handout

Oped, Chartchai Parasuk, Published on 19/10/2023

» The 10,000-baht cash handout scheme has been under heavy criticism. More than 100 economists, led by two ex-Bank of Thailand governors, oppose the scheme that would bring more harm than good.

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OPINION

A tale of liquidity and (too much) debt

Oped, Chartchai Parasuk, Published on 05/10/2023

» Before starting the article, I want to convey a message to the government. The message is "Nothing is free; everything has to be paid for". Acting like Santa Claus is nice, but the government should be aware that every handout gift comes with a price tag.

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OPINION

Downsides to digital cash handout plan

Oped, Chartchai Parasuk, Published on 21/09/2023

» I announced in a previous article that today's story would focus on liquidity and debt. But after careful consideration, I have decided to postpone this for another fortnight. The main reason being that I want to wait for the Bank of Thailand's economic data release for August due out on Sept 29.

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OPINION

When times get tough, Thais party

News, Chartchai Parasuk, Published on 07/09/2023

» Today's article is far from being sarcastic towards or mocking Thais. On the contrary, it explains the current weakness of the economy and, more importantly, the serious implications for the effectiveness of the government's economic stimulus packages. So, this article is recommended reading for the new economic team.

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OPINION

Pheu Thai's cash handouts a likely flop

Oped, Chartchai Parasuk, Published on 24/08/2023

» The title of this article says it all. Pheu Thai Party's flagship economic stimulus policy of handing out 10,000 baht to all Thais aged above 16 years old, with an estimated cost of 560 billion baht, will most likely fail to stimulate (or jump-start) the economy from the recent economic slump.

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OPINION

Why do I smell tom yum kung cooking?

Oped, Chartchai Parasuk, Published on 10/08/2023

» Readers who follow my bi-weekly economic column will have no doubt that the tom yum kung I am referring to is not a traditional Thai soup dish but the financial crisis of 1997.