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OPINION

Surviving the collapse of the population

Oped, Gwynne Dyer, Published on 13/02/2026

» 'To them that hath shall [more] be given" is generally a reliable guide, especially in economic matters, but it doesn't work if the beneficiaries are too stupid to take advantage of the gift. The scarce and precious commodity in this case being people, who are in increasingly short supply.

OPINION

The case of the disappearing senior generals

News, Gwynne Dyer, Published on 10/02/2026

» Armies can be used against both against foreigners abroad and against citizens at home, but the two roles require quite different equipment and tactics. The same applies to their commanders: you need a different kind of general if you think that the primary task of their troops will be controlling dissent at home.

OPINION

Are the Iranians pretending to have nukes?

Oped, Gwynne Dyer, Published on 04/02/2026

» The Iranian regime is brutal, fanatical and corrupt. It has just committed the mass murder of its own citizens in the city streets and in their own homes. But the story we are told about Iran's pursuit of nuclear weapons is very misleading.

OPINION

It could take 1 Danish soldier in Greenland

News, Gwynne Dyer, Published on 23/01/2026

» In 1910, Henry Wilson, the British army officer charged with planning for a possible war with Germany, visited the French officer doing the same job in Paris, Ferdinand Foch. The Anglo-French alliance was still a tentative, semi-secret thing, so Wilson asked Foch, "What is the smallest British military force that would be of any practical assistance to you?"

OPINION

Iran: Don't intervene there, Mr Trump

News, Gwynne Dyer, Published on 17/01/2026

» Any day now, the United States will "come to the rescue" of the protesters in the streets of Iran's cities and American bombers will unleash "hell" on the minions of the theocratic regime -- or not, as the case may be.

OPINION

Who is next for the United States?

Oped, Gwynne Dyer, Published on 12/01/2026

» The Crazy Gang are high on the "brilliant success" of their Venezuela caper and looking for new targets. Like Alexander the Great, US President Donald Trump weeps because there are no more worlds to conquer. But wait! Actually, there are still lots of places to conquer.

OPINION

What would happen if Khamenei falls?

Oped, Gwynne Dyer, Published on 05/01/2026

» The demonstrations began again in Iran last week, only two years after the "Woman, Life, Freedom" movement convulsed the country for months. However, the current protests are potentially much broader than that episode because they are driven by the collapse in Iran's currency, the rial (now 1,420,000 to the US dollar), and the explosive rise in the cost of living.

OPINION

Somaliland: Mixed motivations

News, Gwynne Dyer, Published on 03/01/2026

» Last week Israel was the first country in the world to establish diplomatic relations with Somaliland. Not Somalia, a wreck of a country on the East African coast that has been mired in civil war for the past thirty-five years, but Somaliland, a different country just north of there that has been peaceful, relatively prosperous and even democratic for all those years.

OPINION

Peace on Earth? Democracy everywhere?

News, Gwynne Dyer, Published on 29/12/2025

» Democracy is in retreat or at least on the defensive almost everywhere, while wars are getting bigger and more frequent. The trend lines are frighteningly bad.

OPINION

A lesson in geoengineering for grown-ups

Oped, Gwynne Dyer, Published on 18/12/2025

» A few days ago the European Union's Earth Observation programme, "Copernicus", made a special announcement at the end of its monthly report on the state of the climate. It said that the average global temperature for the past three years (2023-2025) has been 1.5 degrees Celsius above the pre-industrial level. That's the level we were warned that we must never exceed.