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  • OPINION

    Myanmar as interim 'non-state' state

    Oped, Thitinan Pongsudhirak, Published on 01/03/2024

    » Myanmar, also known as Burma, has become a de facto state that is dominated by non-state entities. Contrary to facile claims, Myanmar is not a failed state like some that beset parts of Africa and the Middle East. The ethnically diverse country of 55 million still functions despite widespread violence in an ongoing civil war. Unless and until Myanmar is understood and re-conceptualised as an interim state comprising non-state entities, it will be difficult to move forward to remake and reconstitute a new country after the civil war and the passing of the military junta that seized power on Feb 1, 2021, led by Senior General Min Aung Hlaing.

  • OPINION

    Myanmar revolts against dictatorship

    Oped, Thitinan Pongsudhirak, Published on 02/02/2024

    » When Myanmar's military coup took place three years ago, few thought it would turn out this way. Never has a military in Southeast Asia staged a successful coup and then failed to consolidate power afterwards. Yet this is precisely what's happening in Myanmar. A fierce and determined coalition of resistance forces is in the process of prevailing over Myanmar's battle-hardened army.

  • OPINION

    The geopolitics of China's CPTPP move

    Oped, Thitinan Pongsudhirak, Published on 03/12/2021

    » Nowhere is the intersection between geopolitics and geoeconomics more evident than the accession negotiations under the 11-member Comprehensive and Progressive Agreement for Trans-Pacific Partnership (CPTPP). At issue are three new applications for accession by the United Kingdom, China, and Taiwan. While the UK's candidacy alters the geographic crux of what has been Asia-Pacific trade liberalisation, China's and Taiwan's entry efforts represent a proxy showdown between the United States-led global order and 75-year-old alliance system versus Beijing's geostrategic ambitions and objectives.

  • OPINION

    Concentric Mideast wars and prospects

    News, Thitinan Pongsudhirak, Published on 10/01/2020

    » Nothing captures attention in an age of media saturation like the talk of war. The recent decision by US President Donald Trump to assassinate a top Iranian official, Quds Force Commander Major General Qassem Soleimani, has conjured up the spectre of a wider conflict encompassing not just the Middle East but the broader world, as Iran's top leaders deemed it "an act of war" and vowed "severe revenge". Although Iran's military and its proxy militias and client states in the Middle East and elsewhere are poised to exact retribution for their loss, we are unlikely to see a world war in the immediate aftermath of this killing.

  • OPINION

    What next with China as a superpower?

    News, Thitinan Pongsudhirak, Published on 04/10/2019

    » The spectacular celebrations to mark the People's Republic of China's 70th anniversary of its founding were the culmination of a sweeping ideological struggle over the past century between two competing systems of socio-economic and political organisation. Under the stewardship of the Chinese Communist Party (CCP) from 1921, China has now arrived as a 21st century superpower with an unprecedented hybrid of totalitarian control and a capitalist market economy, the successor state to the old Soviet Union whose demise nearly 30 years ago was attributable to its rigid collectivism over market capitalism.

  • OPINION

    Thai-US relations back on the move again?

    News, Thitinan Pongsudhirak, Published on 09/06/2017

    » Soon after the Asean Summit in April, United States President Donald J Trump placed phone calls to three Southeast Asian leaders and invited them to the White House.

  • OPINION

    Dire airport, culture hub belie 'Thailand 4.0'

    News, Thitinan Pongsudhirak, Published on 17/02/2017

    » Thailand is prone to policy faddism. Several years ago, the AEC (Asean Economic Community) was all the rage until it officially came into being with a whimper at the end of 2015. Back then, hardly a day went by without some kind of a workshop or conference in Thailand about the AEC. But it all did not add up to much, as Asean today is hardly more economically integrated than it was more than a decade ago when the AEC was conceived. In fact, Asean is more internally divided and beset with more geopolitical tensions and troubles than we have seen in many years. Yet Thailand went head over heels for it until a new fad arrived.

  • OPINION

    'Withdrawal' lessons from Prof Anderson

    News, Thitinan Pongsudhirak, Published on 18/12/2015

    » Paragraph per paragraph, no single article analyses Thai politics with as much incision, depth and rigour as that of Benedict Richard O'Gorman Anderson, the long-time, legendary Cornell University intellectual who taught several generations of students specialising in Southeast Asian studies and inspired many more.

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