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  • OPINION

    Thai economy out of sync, out of sight?

    Oped, Pavida Pananond, Published on 27/08/2021

    » The changing nature of globalisation, compounded by pandemic-induced disruptions require a rethink of Thailand's place and direction in the global economy. Already hampered by pre-Covid trends of global slowdown in trade and investment, the economy is facing tougher challenges as the pandemic has forced multinational companies to reconsider their supply chain configuration. The changing contours of the global economy on the one hand and ongoing political tensions at home that have delayed much-needed structural reforms on the other are becoming a perfect storm that could blow away Thailand's chances of maintaining its once central role in Southeast Asia's economic dynamism.

  • OPINION

    Challenges of a post-virus recovery

    Oped, Pavida Pananond, Published on 22/05/2020

    » Picking up the pieces and preparing for the future after the economic and social ravages wrought by the coronavirus (Covid-19) pandemic cannot start soon enough. For Thailand and Southeast Asia more broadly, pre-pandemic imperatives of economic upgrading for higher value-added jobs and industries are now compounded by new Covid-induced dilemmas of rising unemployment and labour abundance. Addressing this double whammy of economic challenges requires policy responses that are nuanced, fair and forward-looking in trying to achieve multiple objectives after the virus subsides.

  • OPINION

    Managing global adversity after poll

    News, Pavida Pananond, Published on 01/02/2019

    » Discounting its disrupted precursor in 2014, the imminent first poll in nearly eight years has put the country's political future on the line.

  • OPINION

    How US-China trade impacts Thailand

    News, Pavida Pananond, Published on 14/09/2018

    » Perhaps the most apt saying to apply to the so-called "trade war" between the United States and China is "when elephants fight, it is the grass that suffers".

  • OPINION

    What a trade war means for Southeast Asia

    News, Pavida Pananond, Published on 17/08/2018

    » Although it's still early days in the so-called "trade war" between the United States and China, its knock-on effects are already palpable. Both sides have accused each other of unfair trade practices, and both have imposed a series of tit-for-tat tariffs and other protectionist measures that could lead to a runaway retaliatory logic and spiral beyond anyone's control.

  • OPINION

    Role flip sees Thailand buy, invest in US

    News, Pavida Pananond, Published on 05/10/2017

    » In the new era of international commerce and diplomacy, role reversals are coming up everywhere.

  • OPINION

    Beyond lofty 'Thailand 4.0' rhetoric

    News, Pavida Pananond, Published on 20/01/2017

    » In the aftermath of last year's Brexit and Donald Trump's surprising election victory, the global economy this year will face risks and uncertainties. Stagnant world trade growth will be further dampened by increasing protectionism and populism in the US, the EU and Asia.

  • OPINION

    The imperative of export-led growth 2.0

    News, Pavida Pananond, Published on 19/05/2016

    » Thailand is no stranger to military seizures of power. The Thai system has developed built-in resilience to absorb and overcome political uncertainty and economic shocks from putsches. However, its 13th coup two years ago, spearheaded by Gen Prayut Chan-o-cha, coincides with a new pattern of economic challenges, requiring a more holistic and integrative policy framework that hinges on an open and stable political environment.

  • WORLD

    Localising production chains best for AEC

    News, Pavida Pananond, Published on 25/01/2016

    » It is supposed to be a new dawn in Southeast Asia, but the reality on the ground feels otherwise. The Asean Economic Community -- with its three integrative pillars of political and security, economic and socio-cultural -- is much less than meets the eye on paper. Asean integration is still a pipe-dream, an ongoing project in fits and starts that has a canny way of projecting more than it delivers.

  • OPINION

    Govt needs to plan for long-term growth

    News, Pavida Pananond, Published on 13/10/2015

    » Thailand's economic growth forecast has been on a slippery slope. From official estimates early this year of upwards of 4%, the World Bank's latest projection now pegs economic expansion at just above 2%. This steady descent is underpinned by a global economic slowdown, especially in China. More disconcerting, it also points to Thailand's fuzzy politics and structural shortcomings that only clear policy direction with measured political predictability can address.

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