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OPINION

Before the Great Ukrainian Offensive

News, Gwynne Dyer, Published on 09/04/2023

» Monday's stunt, when Yevgeny Prigozhin held a Russian flag in his hands and declared that his "Wagner" mercenary soldiers have finally conquered the Ukrainian city of Bakhmut, probably marks the end of the Russian winter offensive. It was just a charade, of course.

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OPINION

New UN climate report clutching at straws

News, Gwynne Dyer, Published on 27/03/2023

» The final report of the United Nation's climate body, the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC), has come out at last. The desperate optimism that characterised the last few volumes (this is part four of four) has frayed away to almost nothing.

OPINION

Have we solved the floaty-bag problem?

Oped, Gwynne Dyer, Published on 17/02/2023

» The United States has been having "a bit of a floaty-bag problem over its airspace", as South Africa's Daily Maverick news site put it.

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OPINION

How the United States can avoid war with China

News, Gwynne Dyer, Published on 06/02/2023

» 'I hope I am wrong. My gut tells me we will fight [with China] in 2025," declared US Air Force Gen Mike Minihan last weekend. He didn't mention what his elbow told him, or if he ever consulted his head on the matter.

OPINION

COP27 meet: A case of the glass being half full

Oped, Gwynne Dyer, Published on 22/11/2022

» As after every climate summit, the air is filled with shouts of rage and despair. What was agreed was unclear and inadequate, and what was left undecided or simply ignored was vast and terrifying. For example, they still haven't managed to agree that the world needs to stop burning fossil fuels.

OPINION

Might Russia use its 'tactical' nuke weapons?

Oped, Gwynne Dyer, Published on 31/08/2022

» On Aug 25, the president of Belarus, Alexander Lukashenko, announced that the country's combat aircraft have been "upgraded" by the Russians to carry nuclear weapons, and Belarusian pilots are being trained to deliver them. It got a single paragraph, or no notice at all, on most news sites. Nobody panicked.

OPINION

Ukraine War a risky game of Mother May I?

Oped, Gwynne Dyer, Published on 17/08/2022

» 'This obviously does not happen because of a thrown butt," said British Defence Minister Ben Wallace. But the Russian Ministry of Defence insisted that the explosions that destroyed at least eight warplanes at Saki Air Base in Russian-occupied Crimea on Aug 9 were due to "a violation of fire safety requirements".

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OPINION

Taiwan is Nancy Pelosi's last hurrah

Oped, Gwynne Dyer, Published on 06/08/2022

» Nancy Pelosi's brief visit to Taiwan this week caused great if somewhat confected anger in Beijing, but the Chinese Communist regime was not her main target. The Speaker of the House of Representatives has long supported Taiwan, and she will be aware that both the government and the people are in need of some reassurance at the moment.

OPINION

Ukraine-Russia war's nuclear end-game

Oped, Gwynne Dyer, Published on 22/04/2022

» Last Sunday Vladimir Soloviev, the anchor of Russia's most popular current affairs show, Sunday Evening, was delivering his usual all-is-going-splendidly take on the war in Ukraine when he suddenly went off-piste. The United Kingdom, he suggested, is planning to use nukes against the Russian forces in Ukraine.

OPINION

3 wars, 2 truces: at least some hope out there

Oped, Gwynne Dyer, Published on 07/04/2022

» Two weeks ago, the three biggest wars in the world were in Ukraine, Ethiopia and Yemen. Now truces have silenced the guns and the air strikes in two of the three. They are only temporary truces so far, but there is a reasonable chance that they could grow into something more permanent.