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  • OPINION

    The Chinese People's Republic of Amnesia

    News, Gwynne Dyer, Published on 05/06/2019

    » Another of the five-yearly anniversaries has rolled around, and it's time to write another think-piece about the long-term meaning of the massacre on Beijing's Tienanmen Square on 4 June 1989. But 30 years later, what is there left to say?

  • OPINION

    Who is really behind the Gulf tanker attacks?

    News, Gwynne Dyer, Published on 17/06/2019

    » The evidence is far from conclusive, but on balance Iran probably is behind the attacks on four oil tankers in the Gulf last month and two more last Thursday. Those attacks carefully avoided human casualties, so if they were Iranian, what was the goal?

  • OPINION

    Mohamed Morsi: A death foretold

    News, Gwynne Dyer, Published on 21/06/2019

    » Egypt's first and last democratically elected president, Mohamed Morsi, died on Monday, lying on the floor of the courtroom where they were trying him on yet more charges. (He was already serving several life sentences.) It was probably a heart attack, but according to witnesses they left him lying there for 20 minutes before medical help arrived.

  • OPINION

    Abiy the lucky premier of Ethiopia

    News, Gwynne Dyer, Published on 25/06/2019

    » Ethiopia's Prime Minister Abiy Ahmed is a very lucky man. He has survived three attempts to kill or overthrow him in the past year.

  • OPINION

    Trump, tariffs and starting a war?

    News, Gwynne Dyer, Published on 11/06/2019

    » The best way to deal with Donald Trump, especially if you are a foreign government negotiating trade issues, is to give him a little win. It doesn't have to be big and important; he's mainly interested in declaring a triumph, and he'll supply the hot air to inflate your little concession into an allegedly major defeat free of charge. Just remember to look crest-fallen, and you're home and dry.

  • OPINION

    What if China won't back down to Trump?

    News, Gwynne Dyer, Published on 10/05/2019

    » Donald Trump is playing hard-ball with China over trade, and the worry-warts are fretting that he's going to start a real trade war by accident. The bigger threat, however, is that he will push first China, and then the whole world, into a deep recession.

  • OPINION

    Happy ending if US strikes Iran? Not a chance

    News, Gwynne Dyer, Published on 15/05/2019

    » US President Donald Trump is well known for his desire to cut American military commitments overseas. Indeed, it is one of his most attractive characteristics. But his attention span is short, he plays a lot of golf, and he does not have the knack of choosing good advisers.

  • OPINION

    Iran: 'Boots on the ground' war unwinnable

    News, Gwynne Dyer, Published on 22/05/2019

    » 'After a long debate, the highest levels of the military could not forecast a way in which things would end favourably for the United States," said Richard Clarke, counter-terrorism adviser in the White House under three administrations. That was back in 2007, and he was talking about the Pentagon's attempts to come up with a winning strategy for a US war with Iran. No matter how they gamed it, the US lost.

  • OPINION

    'World Election Week' no cause for celebration

    News, Gwynne Dyer, Published on 25/05/2019

    » They don't hold world elections, but this is the week when around a third of the planet's voters get the election results for their country or region. In no case are the results a cause for jubilation.

  • OPINION

    EU elections point to hectic Brexit agenda

    News, Gwynne Dyer, Published on 29/05/2019

    » The best way of describing what just happened in the European Union elections is to say that the choices are getting clearer -- and a lot of people are realising which side they are on.

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