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OPINION

Renminbi debt in a dollar-denominated world

Oped, Paola Subacchi, Published on 25/09/2025

» When governments borrow on international markets, they do so overwhelmingly in US dollars. Roughly two-thirds of international debt issuance is denominated in foreign currencies, of which nearly half is in dollars and about 40% is in euros. The rest is spread across other currencies, including the Chinese renminbi.

OPINION

US fiscal state is everyone's issue

Oped, Paola Subacchi, Published on 28/05/2025

» As Donald Trump's "big, beautiful" tax bill heads to the US Senate, investors everywhere are growing increasingly uneasy. On May 16, the credit-rating agency Moody's downgraded US sovereign debt from its long-held triple-A status to Aa1 -- following similar decisions by Standard & Poor's (in 2011) and Fitch Ratings (2023). Given the sheer volume of US debt -- which now stands at $36 trillion, or 124% of GDP -- and rising interest costs, these institutions have concluded that US debt metrics are no longer in line with those of similarly rated sovereigns.

OPINION

Sanctions need global governance

Oped, Paola Subacchi & Rosa M Lastra, Published on 12/04/2024

» As Russia's war against Ukraine has entered its third year, Western governments are finding it increasingly difficult to muster the funding Ukraine needs to defend itself. The European Union struggled to reach a €50 billion (1.9 trillion baht) aid deal in February, and the United States remains deadlocked over its own US$60 billion (about 2.2 trillion baht) funding package. Now, calls to use Russia's own assets to fund the Ukrainian war effort are growing louder.

OPINION

How the West should engage China

News, Paola Subacchi, Published on 06/06/2022

» The world order is at risk of a lasting split, with the United States and its allies on one side, and China and its partners on the other. As US Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen noted at an Atlantic Council event last month, this outcome is far from desirable, and the US must work with China to prevent it. But, practically in her next breath, Yellen advocated actions that could thwart such an effort.

OPINION

Janet Yellen's new financial multilateralism

Oped, Paola Subacchi, Published on 13/03/2021

» The International Monetary Fund and World Bank have sprung into action in ways that would have been inconceivable even a year ago. Under former President Donald Trump, the US -- the main shareholder, with veto rights, in both institutions -- did little to shape their policies. Now, the US is taking the lead in coordinating their role and helping poor countries respond to the Covid-19 crisis.

BUSINESS

China's currency Catch-22

Asia focus, Paola Subacchi, Published on 30/07/2018

» Officials at the People's Bank of China (PBOC) have long insisted that "China won't weaponise the renminbi". And yet, implicit in their promise not to manipulate the currency for strategic ends is their ability to do so if they so desire.