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OPINION

Could Ukraine actually end up winning?

Oped, Gwynne Dyer, Published on 30/09/2025

» Last February, Donald Trump and his heir apparent JD Vance launched a televised frontal attack on Ukrainian president Volodymyr Zelensky in the White House, telling him that Ukraine had "no cards". Mr Zelensky should let Russia keep the conquered territories (about 20% of Ukraine) in return for peace.

OPINION

'Flooding the zone' will likely backfire

Oped, Gwynne Dyer, Published on 22/02/2025

» The planning for a hard-right takeover of the United States federal government was detailed and meticulous, and its execution by Elon Musk and his young Silicon Valley stormtroopers was ruthless and mostly successful. They did indeed "move fast and break things", notably in gaining illegal access to the Department of Treasury payments system by sheer intimidation.

OPINION

Vintage tonnage keeps Russian oil flowing

Oped, Gwynne Dyer, Published on 17/01/2025

» The name is brilliant: "vintage tonnage". It evokes 17th-century pirate vessels flying the skull-and-crossbones, 18th-century ships-of-the-line bristling with cannons, or even 19th-century clipper ships in full sail bringing tea to England and America. The images are always romantic and often beautiful.

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OPINION

Ukraine War: South Korea to the rescue?

News, Gwynne Dyer, Published on 20/11/2024

» The consensus assumption is still that Donald Trump will force Ukraine to yield to Russia as soon as he takes office on Jan 20. Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky himself said on Friday that once Mr Trump becomes president the war with Russia will "end sooner" than it would otherwise have done.

OPINION

Netanyahu did not do enough to save hostages

Oped, Gwynne Dyer, Published on 07/09/2024

» Six Jewish hostages were murdered by Hamas last week just before the Israel Defence Forces (IDF) reached them, and a controversy has erupted in Israel about whether Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu should have done more to save them, but only among the ignorant and the credulous, because everybody else knew he never intended to save them. If your child is kidnapped and you get a ransom note, do you:

OPINION

Current trends give little hope on climate: Pt 1

News, Gwynne Dyer, Published on 03/06/2024

» Interviewing 100 climate scientists -- proper in-depth interviews, two cameras, lights, the lot -- is a crash course in coping strategies.

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OPINION

The fascists are (probably not) coming after all

Oped, Gwynne Dyer, Published on 29/01/2024

» ‘Fascism is on the march everywhere!” shrieked the headline on a recent think-piece by my least favourite foreign affairs commentator (who must remain nameless because I don’t want to give him any publicity). But articles and op-eds about the fascist threat are certainly on the march, and occasionally a real fascist pops up in public.

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OPINION

Armenia's latest exodus: Not a genocide

Oped, Gwynne Dyer, Published on 03/10/2023

» It is a tragedy, but it is not a genocide. In a single week, almost all of the 120,000 Armenians who lived in the enclave in western Azerbaijan called Nagorno-Karabakh have fled across the border into Armenia. Most say they don't expect ever to go home again.

OPINION

Despite claims, Russia unlikely to take Ukraine

News, Gwynne Dyer, Published on 13/12/2021

» I must admit that I googled the plot of the 1997 film Wag the Dog before starting to write this. It's a dark comedy about a US president facing a sex scandal whose staff invent a completely fictional war in the Balkans to draw the media's attention elsewhere. But sex scandals are not the Biden administration's style.

OPINION

After Merkel, who will fill her 'sensible shoes'?

Oped, Gwynne Dyer, Published on 25/09/2021

» Last January Angela Merkel's Christian Democrats (CDU) were ahead in the German opinion polls by 15 points. She was stepping down after 16 years as chancellor (prime minister), but she was still by far the most trusted politician in Germany. Indeed, she is universally known as "Mutti" ("Mummy").