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OPINION

A lesson in geoengineering for grown-ups

Oped, Gwynne Dyer, Published on 18/12/2025

» A few days ago the European Union's Earth Observation programme, "Copernicus", made a special announcement at the end of its monthly report on the state of the climate. It said that the average global temperature for the past three years (2023-2025) has been 1.5 degrees Celsius above the pre-industrial level. That's the level we were warned that we must never exceed.

OPINION

The air war: plywood and Styrofoam

News, Gwynne Dyer, Published on 20/09/2025

» 'Nato is responding with unity and strength," said British defence secretary John Healey. "If you've got drones that are putting Polish lives at risk, then Nato will take them out. There's no firm confirmation on intent, but in the end that's not the point. It's still reckless. It's still dangerous."

OPINION

Brazil and the US: Same crime, different fate

Oped, Gwynne Dyer, Published on 16/09/2025

» If Donald Trump were a religious man, he might have said "There but for the grace of God go I" when he heard that former Brazilian president Jair Bolsonaro had been sentenced to 27 years in prison. Bolsonaro's crime was to have plotted a coup to take back the presidency he lost in the 2022 election.

OPINION

Greenland, Ukraine and all that stuff

News, Gwynne Dyer, Published on 30/08/2025

» Last Wednesday, the Danish foreign minister, Lars Lokke Rasmussen, summoned the top US diplomat in Copenhagen to his office to complain that the United States is running a covert operation in Greenland, a semi-autonomous part of the Danish kingdom.

OPINION

Israel's Gaza plan not quite the final solution

Oped, Gwynne Dyer, Published on 11/08/2025

» 'Anyone who wants to thwart the establishment of a Palestinian state has to support bolstering Hamas and transferring money to Hamas [from Qatar]," Israel's Prime Minister Binyamin "Bibi" Netanyahu told the parliamentary members of his Likud Party in 2019. They were questioning his policy of backing Hamas, and he was explaining why.

OPINION

China holds back for now over Taiwan

Oped, Gwynne Dyer, Published on 25/07/2025

» 'I hope I am wrong. My gut tells me we [the US and China] will fight in 2025," wrote General Mike Minihan, head of US Air Mobility Command, in a private memo two years ago. There are still five months to go, but I'm going to go out on a limb and say that he's wrong.

OPINION

Climate effort needs to be more proactive

Oped, Gwynne Dyer, Published on 21/07/2025

» Start with China, the world's biggest emitter by far of greenhouse gases: 27% of the entire world's emissions, and more than twice that of the second-biggest emitter, the United States. In fact, it's more than all the emissions of all the other developed countries combined. Bad China.

OPINION

Too long in power a bad idea for leaders

Oped, Gwynne Dyer, Published on 01/07/2025

» Leading an entire country for a few years is a steep learning curve, but it's useful experience. Being in power for a dozen years makes most leaders arrogant and careless, but some remain more or less functional. Being in power for more than 30 years just makes you stupid. Consider Cambodia's Hun Sen and Iran's Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei.

OPINION

We've all seen this war game play out before

News, Gwynne Dyer, Published on 20/06/2025

» I've seen this movie already. I don't want to see it again."They lied," said Donald Trump in 2016, running for the Republican presidential nomination against the neo-cons in his own party who had started the "forever wars" in Afghanistan and Iraq. "They said there were weapons of mass destruction. There were none. And they knew there were none."

OPINION

Congo: Where the tail is still wagging the dog

News, Gwynne Dyer, Published on 26/03/2025

» 'Joseph Kabila boycotted the election and is preparing an insurrection because he is the AFC," said President Félix Tshisekedi of the Democratic Republic of Congo last October, and lo! It is coming to pass just as he predicted. But you can't tell the players without a programme, so a little bit of explanation first.