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OPINION

Musk's Starship: If it sounds too good to be true...

News, Gwynne Dyer, Published on 06/12/2025

» Elon Musk promised to build a spaceship that would put people and cargo into Earth orbit at one-hundredth of the current cost per kilo and even enable human beings to create a colony on Mars. A great many people were seduced by the idea, including me.

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OPINION

Iran: Drought, incompetence, revolution?

News, Gwynne Dyer, Published on 22/11/2025

» Twenty years of strict sanctions on Iran by both the United States and the United Nations did not bring down the regime of the ayatollahs. Half a dozen major waves of non-violent protest involving several thousand deaths have not brought it down either. Even last June's massive bombing campaign by Israel and the US did not bring it to heel.

OPINION

What went so wrong in Latin America?

Oped, Gwynne Dyer, Published on 18/10/2025

» Javier Milei, the Elon Musk wannabe who became president of Argentina two years ago, chainsaw in hand, is now in deep trouble with the voters, and the mid-term elections are due this month. He has the same political agenda as Donald Trump, give or take a folly or two, so he asked his populist big brother for help, and Mr Trump delivered.

OPINION

Here's a taste of things to come in the US

Oped, Gwynne Dyer, Published on 02/10/2025

» 'Predictions are hard, especially about the future' (Danish proverb), but still we make them, especially when we care about the future. Here are some about the future of the United States in the next three and a bit years, expressed as probabilities, although you should not trust the numbers.

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OPINION

The air war: plywood and Styrofoam

News, Gwynne Dyer, Published on 20/09/2025

» 'Nato is responding with unity and strength," said British defence secretary John Healey. "If you've got drones that are putting Polish lives at risk, then Nato will take them out. There's no firm confirmation on intent, but in the end that's not the point. It's still reckless. It's still dangerous."

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OPINION

Donald Trump buys time with weapons for Kyiv

Oped, Gwynne Dyer, Published on 18/07/2025

» There was rejoicing when US President Donald Trump announced that he was going to let Ukraine have weapons after all, but it was conspicuously contained joy. Half-smiles and sighs of relief were plentiful; cheers were absent or faked.

OPINION

Musk, Trump and Mao have a lot in common

Oped, Gwynne Dyer, Published on 11/07/2025

» The only place where some people still see Elon Musk as a political genius is China. "Brother Musk, you've got over a billion people on our side backing you," wrote a fan on Weibo, China's biggest social media site. "If Elon Musk were to found a political party," wrote another, "his tech-driven mindset could inject fresh energy into politics."

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OPINION

Where shall we put all the Palestinians?

News, Gwynne Dyer, Published on 07/06/2025

» Reckless people fling accusations of attempted genocide in Gaza at the Israeli coalition government and the Israel Defence Forces (IDF) every day, but the scale of the operation is not remotely big enough to justify that word.

OPINION

South Asian nuclear war would hit globe

Oped, Gwynne Dyer, Published on 01/05/2025

» India and Pakistan have had several shooting matches since they carried out a total of nine underground nuclear weapons tests in 1998. However, they don't make Putin-style thinly veiled threats to use their nukes (around 170 nuclear warheads each at the moment), and they do understand that escalation from smaller, "conventional" wars is the real danger.

OPINION

Keeping the 'rule of law' alive and well

Oped, Gwynne Dyer, Published on 20/03/2025

» On Tuesday there was a vote in the Bundestag, the Lower House of the German parliament, that may have changed the course of history. When the vote came out "Yes", you could feel the tectonic plates shift. Germany had voted to rearm.