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OPINION

A lesson in geoengineering for grown-ups

Oped, Gwynne Dyer, Published on 18/12/2025

» A few days ago the European Union's Earth Observation programme, "Copernicus", made a special announcement at the end of its monthly report on the state of the climate. It said that the average global temperature for the past three years (2023-2025) has been 1.5 degrees Celsius above the pre-industrial level. That's the level we were warned that we must never exceed.

OPINION

China holds back for now over Taiwan

Oped, Gwynne Dyer, Published on 25/07/2025

» 'I hope I am wrong. My gut tells me we [the US and China] will fight in 2025," wrote General Mike Minihan, head of US Air Mobility Command, in a private memo two years ago. There are still five months to go, but I'm going to go out on a limb and say that he's wrong.

OPINION

'Flooding the zone' will likely backfire

Oped, Gwynne Dyer, Published on 22/02/2025

» The planning for a hard-right takeover of the United States federal government was detailed and meticulous, and its execution by Elon Musk and his young Silicon Valley stormtroopers was ruthless and mostly successful. They did indeed "move fast and break things", notably in gaining illegal access to the Department of Treasury payments system by sheer intimidation.

OPINION

In Ukraine, the generals are not the problem

Oped, Gwynne Dyer, Published on 14/02/2024

» "God is usually on the side of the big battalions," Voltaire allegedly said. Not always, but "usually". So how much do you want to bet?

OPINION

New space race to the Moon's South Pole

News, Gwynne Dyer, Published on 16/08/2023

» Don't say "Moon Race". Perish the thought! But there is a race to land on the Moon, and the Russians are cheating. Well, sort of cheating.

OPINION

How the United States can avoid war with China

News, Gwynne Dyer, Published on 06/02/2023

» 'I hope I am wrong. My gut tells me we will fight [with China] in 2025," declared US Air Force Gen Mike Minihan last weekend. He didn't mention what his elbow told him, or if he ever consulted his head on the matter.

OPINION

Will we soon have unlimited clean energy?

Oped, Gwynne Dyer, Published on 17/12/2022

» Nuclear fusion, the "holy grail" that would finally end all the world's energy problems, has been receding into the future at the rate of about one year per year all my adult life -- it was always "about 30 years away" -- but suddenly we're catching up. Unfortunately, the change of pace comes too late to save us from an acute global climate emergency.

OPINION

Will China actually ever invade Taiwan?

Oped, Gwynne Dyer, Published on 13/10/2021

» China's President Xi Jinping promised on Saturday that "The historical task of the complete reunification of the motherland... will definitely be fulfilled." That was a threat to Taiwan, but a threat without a deadline. However Chinese state media, in the form of the ever-rabid Global Times, warned that war "could be triggered at any time".

OPINION

Norway, oil and the issue of climate change

Oped, Gwynne Dyer, Published on 02/10/2021

» You can see why Saudi Arabia wants to go on pumping as much oil as it can. Oil exports account for 87% of the Saudi government budget and 42% of GDP. The Saudi population, now 35 million, is growing by two-thirds of a million a year, and the country already imports 80% of its food. They'd be starving in a few years if they stopped pumping.

OPINION

What will a post-oil Middle East look like?

Oped, Gwynne Dyer, Published on 27/11/2020

» 'The only officials present were American and Saudi," tweeted the Saudi Arabian foreign minister, Prince Faisal bin Farhan Al Saud, but he was lying. Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu really did fly in to Saudi Arabia to spend a few hours with Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman and US Secretary of State Mike Pompeo.