• OPINION

  Will AI create more fake news than it exposes?

  News, Tyler Cowen, Published on 08/04/2024

  » The best large-language models can already write like humans, especially if prompted properly. Photos and images can be faked at low cost. Yet-to-be-released technology can create convincing voice simulations. There are signs that some academic papers contain traces of GPT-4. If even professors are faking it, then surely the dam has burst.

• OPINION

  Poor states will struggle to get rich

  News, Tyler Cowen, Published on 18/01/2024

  » For the billions of people around the world who live in countries that are not yet fully economically developed, I have some disturbing news: The very last chance for their nations to reach developed status might come in this generation.

• OPINION

  A guide to AI safety debate after Altman's ouster

  News, Tyler Cowen, Published on 21/11/2023

  » When it comes to artificial intelligence, one of the most commonly debated issues in the technology community is safety -- so much so that it has helped lead to the ouster of OpenAI's co-founder Sam Altman, according to Bloomberg News.

• OPINION

  How AI will remake the rules

  News, Tyler Cowen, Published on 13/10/2023

  » When it comes to international trade and investment, AI will create some obvious winners and losers. It's the second-order effects that may prove more interesting.

• OPINION

  Some kinds of dogs shouldn't be allowed as pets

  News, Tyler Cowen, Published on 20/09/2023

  » Over the last two years, at least five people in the UK have been killed by American XL bully dogs, prompting no less than the prime minister himself to come forward with a plan to control the dogs. The upshot of Prime Minister Rishi Sunak's policy is that they will have to be registered, neutered, muzzled in public and insured, with an eventual ban to follow.

• OPINION

  Who will be AI's first billionaire?

  News, Tyler Cowen, Published on 20/02/2023

  » Great advances in technology often result in vast increases of wealth. So as the AI boom continues, one obvious question is who will profit -- and by how much. My view, which may be deflationary for entrepreneurs but good for consumers, is this: Relative to how much artificial intelligence changes the world, its early pioneers won't get especially rich.

• OPINION

  Ethiopia follows China's footsteps

  News, Tyler Cowen, Published on 30/05/2018

  » Will Ethiopia become "the China of Africa"? The question often comes up in an economic context: Ethiopia's growth rate is expected to be 8.5% this year, topping China's projected 6.5%. Over the past decade, Ethiopia has averaged about 10% growth.

• OPINION

  What a pragmatist can hope for in talks with Kim

  News, Tyler Cowen, Published on 20/04/2018

  » It's been confirmed that CIA director Mike Pompeo held direct talks with Kim Jong-un in North Korea, and negotiations between Mr Kim and US President Donald Trump really do seem in the offing, so we need to ask how such negotiations might actually succeed.

• OPINION

  How gender relations define politics

  News, Tyler Cowen, Published on 09/04/2018

  » Explanations of the Donald Trump phenomenon often start with conservatives versus liberals, the rural-urban split, or perhaps race and immigration. Those all play a role, but the accumulation of evidence is validating a hypothesis from New York Times columnist Ross Douthat: A big and very fundamental split in American electoral politics today is between different understandings of sex and gender relations.

• OPINION

  Pyongyang playing long game, unlike Washington

  News, Tyler Cowen, Published on 19/10/2017

  » If we think through the North Korea nuclear weapons dilemma using game theory, one aspect of the problem deserves more attention, namely the age of the country's leader, Kim Jong-un: 33. Because peaceful exile doesn't appear to be an option -- his escaping the country safely would be hard -- Mr Kim needs strategies for hanging on to power for 50 years or more. That's a tall order, but it helps us understand that his apparently crazy tactics are probably driven by some very reasonable calculations, albeit selfish and evil ones.

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