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OPINION

Next Middle East war set for Lebanon

News, Gwynne Dyer, Published on 15/11/2017

» 'When all the Arabs and the Israelis agree on one thing, people should pay attention. We should stop this Iranian takeover," said Israel's Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu last month. So we're paying attention now, and we even know where the next war will start: Lebanon.

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OPINION

Balfour Declaration and 100 years of bloody conflict

News, Gwynne Dyer, Published on 28/10/2017

» One hundred years ago next week, in the midst of WWI, the British government sent a letter known as the Balfour Declaration that led, three decades later, to the creation of the state of Israel.

OPINION

Russian victory reuniting Syria under Assad's rule

News, Gwynne Dyer, Published on 21/09/2017

» Two years ago this month, the Russian air force was sent in to save the tottering Syrian regime of Bashar al-Assad from collapse. The air was thick with Western predictions that Moscow had made a dreadful mistake.

OPINION

Venezuela sits on civil war knife-edge

News, Gwynne Dyer, Published on 09/08/2017

» There are two stories about the assault on Fuerte Paramacay military barracks in Carabobo state on Sunday. The Venezuelan government says that about half the 20 attackers were killed or captured, and the rest are being hunted down. Sgt Giomar Flores, who defected from the Venezuelan navy in June and now lives in Colombia, told The Guardian that the attack had been "a complete success".

OPINION

Despite 'total victory', no peace yet in Iraq or Syria

News, Gwynne Dyer, Published on 22/07/2017

» The shooting was still going on down by the river last week when Iraq's Prime Minister Haider al-Abadi dropped by and prematurely declared that the battle for Mosul was over. He was misled by the various Iraqi army, police and militia units who were competing with one another to declare victory first, but now it really is over -- and there is little left of Mosul.

OPINION

Philippine insurgency stems from lack of compromise

News, Gwynne Dyer, Published on 28/06/2017

» A month ago, hardly anybody outside the Philippines had ever heard of Marawi. Now it's the latest front in the war against the Islamic State (IS). More evidence, if you needed it, that the terrorism associated with the IS will go on long after Mosul and Raqqa have been liberated and "Caliph Ibrahim" (Abu Bakr al-Baghdadi) has been killed or captured.

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OPINION

A tale of two bombs -- in Manchester and Bangkok

News, Gwynne Dyer, Published on 26/05/2017

» There were two bombs on Monday. The one in Britain killed at least 22 people and injured 120 as they came out of a concert at Manchester Arena. It was carried out by a suicide bomber named Salman Abedi and claimed by the Islamic State (IS). The other was in Thailand, and injured 22 people at a military-linked hospital in Bangkok; nobody has claimed responsibility yet. But what happened afterwards was very different.

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OPINION

Is Venezuela swiftly heading towards a civil war?

News, Gwynne Dyer, Published on 15/05/2017

» "I am no Mussolini," insisted Venezuela's beleagured President Nicolas Maduro on television early this month, but if things go on this way he could end up like Mussolini. That would be very unfortunate for him, and also for Venezuela.

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OPINION

Suu Kyi's no Mother Teresa or Mandela

News, Gwynne Dyer, Published on 17/04/2017

» 'I'm just a politician," said Myanmar's leader, Aung San Suu Kyi, in a recent interview with the BBC. "I'm no Mother Teresa." Fair enough: She has a country to run, and an army to hold at bay. But she's no Nelson Mandela either, and that has deeply disappointed some people (including fellow holders of the Nobel Peace Prize) who expected better of her.

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OPINION

Choose a side: Donald Trump and the Sunni-Shia war

News, Gwynne Dyer, Published on 17/03/2017

» The Sunni-Shia civil wars in Iraq and Syria are both nearing their end, and in both cases the Shias have won -- thanks largely to American military help in Iraq's case, and to a Russian military intervention in Syria. Yet Russia and the United States are not allies in the Middle East. At least not yet.