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Search Result for “structural shock”

Showing 1 - 10 of 17

OPINION

Trump's threat to exit Nato forces rethink

News, Gwynne Dyer, Published on 04/04/2026

» As Washington abandons the transatlantic pact following an unprovoked attack on Iran, Europe must prepare for a future without US security guarantees.

OPINION

Iran war: One miscalculation after another

Oped, Gwynne Dyer, Published on 24/03/2026

» Still not four full weeks into the war, and already Donald Trump's "short-term excursion" -- decapitate the Iranian regime with a surprise attack and impose harsh terms on the defeated survivors -- has morphed into a global economic crisis and a region-wide war that could destroy the wealth of all the countries on both sides of the Gulf. At the very least.

OPINION

Who is next for the United States?

Oped, Gwynne Dyer, Published on 12/01/2026

» The Crazy Gang are high on the "brilliant success" of their Venezuela caper and looking for new targets. Like Alexander the Great, US President Donald Trump weeps because there are no more worlds to conquer. But wait! Actually, there are still lots of places to conquer.

OPINION

Here's a taste of things to come in the US

Oped, Gwynne Dyer, Published on 02/10/2025

» 'Predictions are hard, especially about the future' (Danish proverb), but still we make them, especially when we care about the future. Here are some about the future of the United States in the next three and a bit years, expressed as probabilities, although you should not trust the numbers.

OPINION

America can learn a lot from Botswana polls

News, Gwynne Dyer, Published on 06/11/2024

» Botswana's elections have always been seen as a model for Africa, but the one last week has a somewhat wider relevance. The way its politicians handled victory and defeat could serve as a model for politicians in the United States.

OPINION

Long ceasefire in Gaza may snooker Hamas

Oped, Gwynne Dyer, Published on 24/11/2023

» There are really three parties to the "pause" -- nobody is officially using the word "ceasefire" -- that brings at least a temporary end to the fighting in the Gaza Strip. Two of the three parties, Hamas and the United States, would very much like it to turn into a permanent ceasefire, but Israel emphatically does not.

OPINION

Massacres and guns, from the US to Serbia

Oped, Gwynne Dyer, Published on 09/05/2023

» Here's how to sound wise when writing a story about mass killings and gun control. Last week saw two such massacres in Serbia (eight deaths and nine deaths, respectively) and only one in the United States (eight killed in a mall in Allen, Texas).

OPINION

Why this year's COP26 isn't going to deliver

Oped, Gwynne Dyer, Published on 30/10/2021

» 'The world is on a catastrophic pathway to 2.7°C of heating," said UN Secretary General António Guterres. "There is a high risk of failure of COP26." That's the global climate summit that meets every five years (but was postponed last year because of the pandemic) to plot a course away from climate disaster. And it really isn't looking good.

OPINION

Lebanon quickly sinking in more ways than one

Oped, Gwynne Dyer, Published on 21/10/2021

» Off the Lebanese coast about 60 kilometres north of Beirut a 104-metre battleship stands vertically, with her bow and some 30 metres of her length plunged into the mud. The seabed is 140 metres down, but you can even scuba-dive on the stern if you are a technical diver. The ship is a bit like Lebanon, for reasons I'll explain later.

OPINION

Norway, oil and the issue of climate change

Oped, Gwynne Dyer, Published on 02/10/2021

» You can see why Saudi Arabia wants to go on pumping as much oil as it can. Oil exports account for 87% of the Saudi government budget and 42% of GDP. The Saudi population, now 35 million, is growing by two-thirds of a million a year, and the country already imports 80% of its food. They'd be starving in a few years if they stopped pumping.