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OPINION

Fanatics, an obsessive, and a belligerent fool

Oped, Gwynne Dyer, Published on 07/04/2026

» We don't have to look very far to find a useful historical analogy for the current crisis in the Middle East. In 1967, Egypt closed the Strait of Tiran to Israeli ships, and Israel replied with a surprise air attack that destroyed almost the entire Egyptian air force on the ground.

OPINION

Trump's threat to exit Nato forces rethink

News, Gwynne Dyer, Published on 04/04/2026

» As Washington abandons the transatlantic pact following an unprovoked attack on Iran, Europe must prepare for a future without US security guarantees.

OPINION

Iran war: One miscalculation after another

Oped, Gwynne Dyer, Published on 24/03/2026

» Still not four full weeks into the war, and already Donald Trump's "short-term excursion" -- decapitate the Iranian regime with a surprise attack and impose harsh terms on the defeated survivors -- has morphed into a global economic crisis and a region-wide war that could destroy the wealth of all the countries on both sides of the Gulf. At the very least.

OPINION

After 66 years, Cuba's regime faces reckoning

News, Gwynne Dyer, Published on 21/02/2026

» Fidel Castro and his communist band of brothers have had a good long run in power (66 years), but they have run out of road.

OPINION

The case of the disappearing senior generals

News, Gwynne Dyer, Published on 10/02/2026

» Armies can be used against both against foreigners abroad and against citizens at home, but the two roles require quite different equipment and tactics. The same applies to their commanders: you need a different kind of general if you think that the primary task of their troops will be controlling dissent at home.

OPINION

Are the Iranians pretending to have nukes?

Oped, Gwynne Dyer, Published on 04/02/2026

» The Iranian regime is brutal, fanatical and corrupt. It has just committed the mass murder of its own citizens in the city streets and in their own homes. But the story we are told about Iran's pursuit of nuclear weapons is very misleading.

OPINION

It could take 1 Danish soldier in Greenland

News, Gwynne Dyer, Published on 23/01/2026

» In 1910, Henry Wilson, the British army officer charged with planning for a possible war with Germany, visited the French officer doing the same job in Paris, Ferdinand Foch. The Anglo-French alliance was still a tentative, semi-secret thing, so Wilson asked Foch, "What is the smallest British military force that would be of any practical assistance to you?"

OPINION

Iran: Don't intervene there, Mr Trump

News, Gwynne Dyer, Published on 17/01/2026

» Any day now, the United States will "come to the rescue" of the protesters in the streets of Iran's cities and American bombers will unleash "hell" on the minions of the theocratic regime -- or not, as the case may be.

OPINION

What would happen if Khamenei falls?

Oped, Gwynne Dyer, Published on 05/01/2026

» The demonstrations began again in Iran last week, only two years after the "Woman, Life, Freedom" movement convulsed the country for months. However, the current protests are potentially much broader than that episode because they are driven by the collapse in Iran's currency, the rial (now 1,420,000 to the US dollar), and the explosive rise in the cost of living.

OPINION

World leaders are destroying the rule of law

Oped, Gwynne Dyer, Published on 01/12/2025

» Russia's "big concession is they stop fighting, and they don't take any more land," US President Donald Trump said on Tuesday, when asked what Russia was conceding in the thinly disguised surrender document he was trying to shove down Ukrainian throats. He truly is a 19th-century man at heart.