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OPINION

The case of the disappearing senior generals

News, Gwynne Dyer, Published on 10/02/2026

» Armies can be used against both against foreigners abroad and against citizens at home, but the two roles require quite different equipment and tactics. The same applies to their commanders: you need a different kind of general if you think that the primary task of their troops will be controlling dissent at home.

OPINION

Iran: Drought, incompetence, revolution?

News, Gwynne Dyer, Published on 22/11/2025

» Twenty years of strict sanctions on Iran by both the United States and the United Nations did not bring down the regime of the ayatollahs. Half a dozen major waves of non-violent protest involving several thousand deaths have not brought it down either. Even last June's massive bombing campaign by Israel and the US did not bring it to heel.

OPINION

Give Trump's Gaza peace plan a chance

Oped, Gwynne Dyer, Published on 08/10/2025

» When a bad man does a good thing, we should honour him for it, even if his motives are selfish.

OPINION

Trump smashes trade systems in record time

Oped, Gwynne Dyer, Published on 08/04/2025

» In ten whirlwind weeks, Donald Trump had already smashed the international system of rules and alliances that more or less kept the peace for the past eighty years, but his bizarre "tariffs on everybody" policy has given us a glimpse of what may take its place. It's the United States against the whole world, and America's only possible great-power ally is Russia.

OPINION

'Flooding the zone' will likely backfire

Oped, Gwynne Dyer, Published on 22/02/2025

» The planning for a hard-right takeover of the United States federal government was detailed and meticulous, and its execution by Elon Musk and his young Silicon Valley stormtroopers was ruthless and mostly successful. They did indeed "move fast and break things", notably in gaining illegal access to the Department of Treasury payments system by sheer intimidation.

OPINION

Trump can't do that much climate damage

News, Gwynne Dyer, Published on 23/01/2025

» 'Drill, baby, drill", exulted the new President of the World (American branch), but he will find that the oil and gas industry isn't listening. As Darren Woods, CEO of ExxonMobil, tactfully put it in November: "I'm not sure how 'drill, baby, drill' translates into policy."

OPINION

Trump: Neither unique nor irreplaceable

Oped, Gwynne Dyer, Published on 16/07/2024

» Almost everybody who feels obliged to comment about the attempted assassination of Donald Trump is currently insisting that "violence has no place in American politics", but of course it has. Four US presidents have been assassinated while in office, and three others (now including Mr Trump) have been injured in assassination attempts.

OPINION

Mideast missile madness gets even worse

Oped, Gwynne Dyer, Published on 25/01/2024

» Not all that long ago, attacking another country's territory was still seen as a big deal. It was, in legal terms, an "act of war", liable to have unpleasant and potentially unlimited consequences, including full-scale war. Very powerful countries occasionally made small, one-off attacks on very weak ones to "discipline" them, but even that was relatively rare.

OPINION

The trouble with events in America

Oped, Gwynne Dyer, Published on 21/01/2024

» Harold Macmillan, British prime minister about half a century ago, was once asked what was the greatest challenge for a political leader. "Events, dear boy, events," he replied. The same is true in this US presidential election year.

OPINION

Schrödinger's Island: Taiwan election 2024

Oped, Gwynne Dyer, Published on 12/01/2024

» Taiwan's fate is as unknowable as usual, even though we know who the next president will be. The Democratic Progressive Party's (DPP) William Lai, vice-president under outgoing President Tsai Ing-Wen, will almost certainly win the election tomorrow because the two opposition parties failed to agree on a joint candidate and will split the slightly-less-anti-China vote between them.