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Search Result for “preliminary round”

Showing 1 - 10 of 44

OPINION

Are the Iranians pretending to have nukes?

Oped, Gwynne Dyer, Published on 04/02/2026

» The Iranian regime is brutal, fanatical and corrupt. It has just committed the mass murder of its own citizens in the city streets and in their own homes. But the story we are told about Iran's pursuit of nuclear weapons is very misleading.

OPINION

What would happen if Khamenei falls?

Oped, Gwynne Dyer, Published on 05/01/2026

» The demonstrations began again in Iran last week, only two years after the "Woman, Life, Freedom" movement convulsed the country for months. However, the current protests are potentially much broader than that episode because they are driven by the collapse in Iran's currency, the rial (now 1,420,000 to the US dollar), and the explosive rise in the cost of living.

OPINION

Bibi's strategy to keep justice at arm's length

Oped, Gwynne Dyer, Published on 03/12/2025

» Israel's prime minister, Benjamin "Bibi" Netanyahu, has just asked the country's president, Isaac Herzog, to "fully pardon" him of all three charges -- bribery, fraud and breach of trust -- that he has been on trial for since 2020. And the question is: Why did he only ask for it now?

OPINION

Here's a taste of things to come in the US

Oped, Gwynne Dyer, Published on 02/10/2025

» 'Predictions are hard, especially about the future' (Danish proverb), but still we make them, especially when we care about the future. Here are some about the future of the United States in the next three and a bit years, expressed as probabilities, although you should not trust the numbers.

OPINION

Has Iran finally reached the end of the line?

Oped, Gwynne Dyer, Published on 02/01/2025

» Six months ago, at the end of Iran's presidential election, I finished an article by speculating that the long-lived theocratic dictatorship in Iran may be a lot closer to its end than its beginning: "If you can plausibly say "This cannot go on forever", you are also saying "Some day this will come to an end'."

OPINION

What now after Israel's invasion of Lebanon?

Oped, Gwynne Dyer, Published on 05/10/2024

» Benjamin "Bibi" Netanyahu, Israel's prime minister, has launched his invasion of Lebanon. As usual in the opening stages of Israeli incursions into that fragile country, the signs and portents look good for the Israel Defence Forces (IDF).

OPINION

Iran's theocracy simply cannot go on forever

Oped, Gwynne Dyer, Published on 09/07/2024

» 'I have heard that people's zeal and interest is higher than in the first round [of Iran's presidential election]," Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei told Iranian TV just before the second round of voting on Sunday. "It is wrong to assume those who abstained in the first round are opposed to Islamic rule."

OPINION

Fascism rising in France, but don't panic…

Oped, Gwynne Dyer, Published on 06/07/2024

» Nothing else in France looks like the 1930s, so why should fascism? There really is a fascist movement in France, although it avoids torch-lit marches and jackboots. It has even stopped the Holocaust denial (mostly).

OPINION

The fascists are (probably not) coming after all

Oped, Gwynne Dyer, Published on 29/01/2024

» ‘Fascism is on the march everywhere!” shrieked the headline on a recent think-piece by my least favourite foreign affairs commentator (who must remain nameless because I don’t want to give him any publicity). But articles and op-eds about the fascist threat are certainly on the march, and occasionally a real fascist pops up in public.

OPINION

Mideast missile madness gets even worse

Oped, Gwynne Dyer, Published on 25/01/2024

» Not all that long ago, attacking another country's territory was still seen as a big deal. It was, in legal terms, an "act of war", liable to have unpleasant and potentially unlimited consequences, including full-scale war. Very powerful countries occasionally made small, one-off attacks on very weak ones to "discipline" them, but even that was relatively rare.