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OPINION

Nato 1.0 is dead. Long live Nato 2.0

News, Gwynne Dyer, Published on 17/02/2026

» Every year about this time, the North Atlantic Treaty Organisation (Nato), the world's most powerful alliance for the past 77 years, holds a conference in Munich to examine its state of health.

OPINION

Iran: Don't intervene there, Mr Trump

News, Gwynne Dyer, Published on 17/01/2026

» Any day now, the United States will "come to the rescue" of the protesters in the streets of Iran's cities and American bombers will unleash "hell" on the minions of the theocratic regime -- or not, as the case may be.

OPINION

What would happen if Khamenei falls?

Oped, Gwynne Dyer, Published on 05/01/2026

» The demonstrations began again in Iran last week, only two years after the "Woman, Life, Freedom" movement convulsed the country for months. However, the current protests are potentially much broader than that episode because they are driven by the collapse in Iran's currency, the rial (now 1,420,000 to the US dollar), and the explosive rise in the cost of living.

OPINION

Venezuela: Performative purging

Oped, Gwynne Dyer, Published on 09/12/2025

» 'If you're on a boat full of cocaine or fentanyl or whatever, headed to the United States, you're an immediate threat to the United States," said US Secretary of State Marco Rubio last week. So it's perfectly reasonable for the US armed forces to kill everybody on that boat (including a "double tap" on any survivors in the water).

OPINION

Bibi's strategy to keep justice at arm's length

Oped, Gwynne Dyer, Published on 03/12/2025

» Israel's prime minister, Benjamin "Bibi" Netanyahu, has just asked the country's president, Isaac Herzog, to "fully pardon" him of all three charges -- bribery, fraud and breach of trust -- that he has been on trial for since 2020. And the question is: Why did he only ask for it now?

OPINION

Iran: Drought, incompetence, revolution?

News, Gwynne Dyer, Published on 22/11/2025

» Twenty years of strict sanctions on Iran by both the United States and the United Nations did not bring down the regime of the ayatollahs. Half a dozen major waves of non-violent protest involving several thousand deaths have not brought it down either. Even last June's massive bombing campaign by Israel and the US did not bring it to heel.

OPINION

Another day, another massacre

News, Gwynne Dyer, Published on 08/11/2025

» The ceasefire in Gaza, however shaky, is freeing up some bandwidth for the world's media to fret about other ongoing massacres, and UN Secretary General António Guterres wasted no time in turning the spotlight on Sudan. "The horrifying crisis in Sudan … is spiralling out of control," he said on Monday -- but he didn't explain why.

OPINION

Forget Canada. Better invade Venezuela first!

Oped, Gwynne Dyer, Published on 29/10/2025

» Question: Why do some Canadians want Mr Trump to invade Venezuela?

OPINION

Give Trump's Gaza peace plan a chance

Oped, Gwynne Dyer, Published on 08/10/2025

» When a bad man does a good thing, we should honour him for it, even if his motives are selfish.

OPINION

Here's a taste of things to come in the US

Oped, Gwynne Dyer, Published on 02/10/2025

» 'Predictions are hard, especially about the future' (Danish proverb), but still we make them, especially when we care about the future. Here are some about the future of the United States in the next three and a bit years, expressed as probabilities, although you should not trust the numbers.