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OPINION

Trump's pressure campaign fails to break Iran

Oped, Gwynne Dyer, Published on 24/04/2026

» TACO! Of course. US President Donald Trump always chickens out, but it's a feature, not a bug. If his threats aren't working, he will generally drop them and try something else.

OPINION

It's time to go geoengineering on climate issue

Oped, Gwynne Dyer, Published on 05/06/2025

» This is the second anniversary of the arrival of the emergency but practically nobody is mentioning it. Instead people are choosing to worry about more familiar problems like global trade wars, the rise of fascism and genocidal wars. It's kind of a global displacement activity: if we don't mention it, maybe it will go away.

OPINION

War: two steps forward, two steps back?

Oped, Gwynne Dyer, Published on 13/02/2025

» In classical civilisations, there was a continuing, unresolved debate about whether history moved forward or just went around in circles: was it linear or was it cyclical? But that debate was largely settled once human beings learned about their deeper past. It's linear.

OPINION

Vintage tonnage keeps Russian oil flowing

Oped, Gwynne Dyer, Published on 17/01/2025

» The name is brilliant: "vintage tonnage". It evokes 17th-century pirate vessels flying the skull-and-crossbones, 18th-century ships-of-the-line bristling with cannons, or even 19th-century clipper ships in full sail bringing tea to England and America. The images are always romantic and often beautiful.

OPINION

Feedback on climate – not in front of the kids

Oped, Gwynne Dyer, Published on 16/01/2025

» 'This does not mean the international +1.5ºC target has been broken because that refers to a long-term average over decades." If those carefully chosen words don't set your alarm bells ringing, you have not travelled much in the land of lawyers.

OPINION

The world is headed towards uncharted waters

Oped, Gwynne Dyer, Published on 17/09/2024

» No sirens are blaring, nobody even looks frightened, but they should be. Last week, the world moved into uncharted territory. The "aspirational" goal of never allowing the average global temperature to rise more than 1.5 degrees Celsius higher than the pre-industrial norm (+1.5C) has been breached for a whole year -- and probably forever.

OPINION

The mother of all climate feedbacks?

Oped, Gwynne Dyer, Published on 10/05/2024

» 'Just like this year, last year the heatwave extended from parts of India to Bangladesh and Myanmar, and all the way to Thailand. This year it went further east, into the Philippines. So, it's the same pattern," said Prof Krishna Achutarao of the Indian Institute of Technology. "I do not particularly buy into this idea that El Niño is the cause."

OPINION

Indonesian poll serves up a curious outcome

Oped, Gwynne Dyer, Published on 20/02/2024

» Indonesia's President Joko Widodo concluded his second five-year term last Tuesday with a national election in which his chosen successors won a convincing victory. "Jokowi", as everybody calls him, still enjoys 70% public approval, and he has every right to be proud of his past.

OPINION

Israel vs the ICJ: Is this a waste of time?

Oped, Gwynne Dyer, Published on 18/01/2024

» The two sides have had their day in court -- one day each, actually. The 17 judges of the International Court of Justice (ICJ) have now retired to consider what interim decisions they should make on South Africa's accusation that Israel's actions in the Gaza Strip amount to the crime of genocide. Is this just a waste of time?

OPINION

Schrödinger's Island: Taiwan election 2024

Oped, Gwynne Dyer, Published on 12/01/2024

» Taiwan's fate is as unknowable as usual, even though we know who the next president will be. The Democratic Progressive Party's (DPP) William Lai, vice-president under outgoing President Tsai Ing-Wen, will almost certainly win the election tomorrow because the two opposition parties failed to agree on a joint candidate and will split the slightly-less-anti-China vote between them.