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OPINION

Iran war: One miscalculation after another

News, Gwynne Dyer, Published on 24/03/2026

» Still not four full weeks into the war, and already Donald Trump's "short-term excursion" -- decapitate the Iranian regime with a surprise attack and impose harsh terms on the defeated survivors -- has morphed into a global economic crisis and a region-wide war that could destroy the wealth of all the countries on both sides of the Gulf. At the very least.

OPINION

How a bad Trump edit became a global controversy

Oped, Gwynne Dyer, Published on 14/11/2025

» I have spent thousands of hours sitting alongside video editors working on productions quite similar to the Panorama documentary that has landed the British Broadcasting Corporation with the threat of a billion-dollar libel suit by Donald Trump. I think I know what happened.

OPINION

South Asian nuclear war would hit globe

Oped, Gwynne Dyer, Published on 01/05/2025

» India and Pakistan have had several shooting matches since they carried out a total of nine underground nuclear weapons tests in 1998. However, they don't make Putin-style thinly veiled threats to use their nukes (around 170 nuclear warheads each at the moment), and they do understand that escalation from smaller, "conventional" wars is the real danger.

OPINION

Farewell Nato: The late, great military alliance

Oped, Gwynne Dyer, Published on 05/03/2025

» The North Atlantic Treaty Organisation (Nato) retired to its sickbed as soon as Donald Trump won the presidential election last November. It finally died last Friday in the White House, when Mr Trump and Vice-President JD Vance launched a vicious attack on Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky before the massed cameras of the American media.

OPINION

World oblivious to risk of all-out war in Africa

Oped, Gwynne Dyer, Published on 02/05/2024

» 'We could see an all-out war between all the tribes and that is really the doomsday scenario. At this point, it's not unrealistic," the head of an international non-government organisation that is working in Sudan told the Al Jazeera news agency last week. (She asked them to withhold her name to protect her in-country team in North Darfur.)

OPINION

Why won't Putin go to South Africa?

Oped, Gwynne Dyer, Published on 27/07/2023

» Last week, Russian President Vladimir Putin announced that he won't be going to South Africa for next month's summit of the Brics countries (Brazil, Russia, India, China, South Africa), although all the other leaders will be there. In fact, another couple of dozen national leaders who want to join the club will also be there. Why is Mr Putin staying away?

OPINION

How the United States can avoid war with China

News, Gwynne Dyer, Published on 06/02/2023

» 'I hope I am wrong. My gut tells me we will fight [with China] in 2025," declared US Air Force Gen Mike Minihan last weekend. He didn't mention what his elbow told him, or if he ever consulted his head on the matter.

OPINION

Vinland history: a question of dates, timing

Oped, Gwynne Dyer, Published on 28/11/2022

» 'If the 20th century AD were dated at the same resolution as the 20th century BC, the two World Wars would be indistinguishable in time; and the Montgomery Bus Strike might post-date the release of Mandela." So wrote the Exact Chronology of Early Societies' (ECHOES) team of palaeohistorians at Groningen University in the northern Netherlands -- and then they fixed the problem.

OPINION

How to stop sea level rise at its source

News, Gwynne Dyer, Published on 05/06/2022

» 'Ninety percent of ice flowing to the sea from the Antarctic ice sheet, and about half of that lost from Greenland, travels in narrow, fast ice streams measuring tens of kilometres or less across. Stemming the largest flows would allow the ice sheets to thicken, slowing or even reversing their contribution to sea-level rise."

OPINION

Climate change hits southern part of Africa

Oped, Gwynne Dyer, Published on 27/04/2022

» Tropical Storm Ana in January, Tropical Cyclone Batsirai in February, then Dumako, Emnati and Gombe in quick succession: three cyclones and two "tropical storms" in six weeks hitting the coasts of southeast Africa.