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Schrödinger's Island: Taiwan election 2024
Oped, Gwynne Dyer, Published on 12/01/2024
» Taiwan's fate is as unknowable as usual, even though we know who the next president will be. The Democratic Progressive Party's (DPP) William Lai, vice-president under outgoing President Tsai Ing-Wen, will almost certainly win the election tomorrow because the two opposition parties failed to agree on a joint candidate and will split the slightly-less-anti-China vote between them.
Brazil: The hard right wins again
News, Gwynne Dyer, Published on 10/10/2018
» A man who makes Donald Trump look like a bleeding-heart liberal will almost certainly be Brazil's next president. Jair Bolsonaro won 46% of the vote in Sunday's first round of the Brazilian presidential election, with 12 other candidates running. Fernando Haddad, who will face him alone in the run-off in three weeks' time, got only 29%.