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OPINION

Trump's threat to exit Nato forces rethink

News, Gwynne Dyer, Published on 04/04/2026

» As Washington abandons the transatlantic pact following an unprovoked attack on Iran, Europe must prepare for a future without US security guarantees.

OPINION

Netanyahu's long game ensnares Trump

News, Gwynne Dyer, Published on 14/03/2026

» Donald Trump is caught in the trap that he helped to build, and he is starting to flail against his fate. His "war of choice", "Operation Epic Fury", was supposed to end in "unconditional surrender" by Tehran in just a few weeks, but if Mr Trump ever had a plan beyond "use massive force", it isn't working.

OPINION

Surviving the collapse of the population

Oped, Gwynne Dyer, Published on 13/02/2026

» 'To them that hath shall [more] be given" is generally a reliable guide, especially in economic matters, but it doesn't work if the beneficiaries are too stupid to take advantage of the gift. The scarce and precious commodity in this case being people, who are in increasingly short supply.

OPINION

What would happen if Khamenei falls?

Oped, Gwynne Dyer, Published on 05/01/2026

» The demonstrations began again in Iran last week, only two years after the "Woman, Life, Freedom" movement convulsed the country for months. However, the current protests are potentially much broader than that episode because they are driven by the collapse in Iran's currency, the rial (now 1,420,000 to the US dollar), and the explosive rise in the cost of living.

OPINION

A lesson in geoengineering for grown-ups

Oped, Gwynne Dyer, Published on 18/12/2025

» A few days ago the European Union's Earth Observation programme, "Copernicus", made a special announcement at the end of its monthly report on the state of the climate. It said that the average global temperature for the past three years (2023-2025) has been 1.5 degrees Celsius above the pre-industrial level. That's the level we were warned that we must never exceed.

OPINION

Bibi's strategy to keep justice at arm's length

Oped, Gwynne Dyer, Published on 03/12/2025

» Israel's prime minister, Benjamin "Bibi" Netanyahu, has just asked the country's president, Isaac Herzog, to "fully pardon" him of all three charges -- bribery, fraud and breach of trust -- that he has been on trial for since 2020. And the question is: Why did he only ask for it now?

OPINION

Marking time at the COP30 climate summit

Oped, Gwynne Dyer, Published on 12/11/2025

» Populist parties are already in power in some developed countries and waiting just outside the door in many more. The key trick of populist politicians is to tell the voters what they want to hear, and the voters definitely do not want their lives to be disrupted by global heating, so they are told it is not happening. It's "the world's biggest con", in Donald Trump's words.

OPINION

Arab fraternity weakens and hegemons rule

News, Gwynne Dyer, Published on 01/11/2025

» 'This is the way the world ends, not with a bang but a whimper," wrote T S Eliot in 1925, probably responding to the profoundly unsatisfactory aftermath of World War I (although with a poet, you never really know). At any rate, it's happening again, this time in the Middle East.

OPINION

Kingdom of Denmark vs the Shadow Fleet

News, Gwynne Dyer, Published on 25/10/2025

» Back in the 16th and 17th centuries, two-thirds of the Danish kingdom's income came from taxes paid by every ship passing through the Øresund ('The Sound') Strait, the only exit from the Baltic Sea. Each ship had to declare its cargo -- and if the Danes thought they were undervaluing it, Denmark had the right to buy it at the declared price.

OPINION

No 'New World Order', only global disorder

Oped, Gwynne Dyer, Published on 09/09/2025

» There is no "New World Order", although there is certainly a new world disorder.