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OPINION

Iran war: One miscalculation after another

News, Gwynne Dyer, Published on 24/03/2026

» Still not four full weeks into the war, and already Donald Trump's "short-term excursion" -- decapitate the Iranian regime with a surprise attack and impose harsh terms on the defeated survivors -- has morphed into a global economic crisis and a region-wide war that could destroy the wealth of all the countries on both sides of the Gulf. At the very least.

OPINION

How a bad Trump edit became a global controversy

Oped, Gwynne Dyer, Published on 14/11/2025

» I have spent thousands of hours sitting alongside video editors working on productions quite similar to the Panorama documentary that has landed the British Broadcasting Corporation with the threat of a billion-dollar libel suit by Donald Trump. I think I know what happened.

OPINION

Can Ukraine survive Trump presidency?

News, Gwynne Dyer, Published on 21/05/2025

» We are getting very close to the point where Donald Trump realises that his dear friend, Vladimir Putin, has been playing him for a fool. The Russian president never had the slightest intention of moderating his war aims, which include the annexation of much of Ukraine and the demotion of the rest to the status of a puppet state.

OPINION

Will there be a ceasefire in Ukraine now?

Oped, Gwynne Dyer, Published on 15/02/2025

» It's taking Donald Trump a little longer than the 24 hours he said he would need to end Russia's war in Ukraine, but his 90-minute phone call with Vladimir Putin on Wednesday comes as no surprise.

OPINION

War: two steps forward, two steps back?

Oped, Gwynne Dyer, Published on 13/02/2025

» In classical civilisations, there was a continuing, unresolved debate about whether history moved forward or just went around in circles: was it linear or was it cyclical? But that debate was largely settled once human beings learned about their deeper past. It's linear.

OPINION

Vintage tonnage keeps Russian oil flowing

Oped, Gwynne Dyer, Published on 17/01/2025

» The name is brilliant: "vintage tonnage". It evokes 17th-century pirate vessels flying the skull-and-crossbones, 18th-century ships-of-the-line bristling with cannons, or even 19th-century clipper ships in full sail bringing tea to England and America. The images are always romantic and often beautiful.

OPINION

Beware of rogue presidents (this time in Korea)

News, Gwynne Dyer, Published on 07/01/2025

» Turning yourself from a democratically elected president into a dictator is a tricky operation, and most people who try it fail. It's called a "self-coup", from the Spanish auto-golpe, and to try it without first gaining the support of the armed forces is sheer lunacy. Yet, from time to time, an elected president tries to do exactly that.

OPINION

Has Iran finally reached the end of the line?

Oped, Gwynne Dyer, Published on 02/01/2025

» Six months ago, at the end of Iran's presidential election, I finished an article by speculating that the long-lived theocratic dictatorship in Iran may be a lot closer to its end than its beginning: "If you can plausibly say "This cannot go on forever", you are also saying "Some day this will come to an end'."

OPINION

Ukraine War: South Korea to the rescue?

News, Gwynne Dyer, Published on 20/11/2024

» The consensus assumption is still that Donald Trump will force Ukraine to yield to Russia as soon as he takes office on Jan 20. Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky himself said on Friday that once Mr Trump becomes president the war with Russia will "end sooner" than it would otherwise have done.

OPINION

Age begins to show for Chinese Communists

Oped, Gwynne Dyer, Published on 08/10/2024

» 'No one can stop the wheel of history," said China's President Xi Jinping on the recent 75th anniversary of the day when the Chinese Communist Party (CCP) proclaimed the creation of the People's Republic of China. And the wheel is indeed still turning -- but that may not be good news for the fourth-generation heirs of that revolution.