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OPINION

Nato 1.0 is dead. Long live Nato 2.0

News, Gwynne Dyer, Published on 17/02/2026

» Every year about this time, the North Atlantic Treaty Organisation (Nato), the world's most powerful alliance for the past 77 years, holds a conference in Munich to examine its state of health.

OPINION

Forget Canada. Better invade Venezuela first!

Oped, Gwynne Dyer, Published on 29/10/2025

» Question: Why do some Canadians want Mr Trump to invade Venezuela?

OPINION

Here's a taste of things to come in the US

Oped, Gwynne Dyer, Published on 02/10/2025

» 'Predictions are hard, especially about the future' (Danish proverb), but still we make them, especially when we care about the future. Here are some about the future of the United States in the next three and a bit years, expressed as probabilities, although you should not trust the numbers.

OPINION

Could Ukraine actually end up winning?

Oped, Gwynne Dyer, Published on 30/09/2025

» Last February, Donald Trump and his heir apparent JD Vance launched a televised frontal attack on Ukrainian president Volodymyr Zelensky in the White House, telling him that Ukraine had "no cards". Mr Zelensky should let Russia keep the conquered territories (about 20% of Ukraine) in return for peace.

OPINION

Greenland, Ukraine and all that stuff

News, Gwynne Dyer, Published on 30/08/2025

» Last Wednesday, the Danish foreign minister, Lars Lokke Rasmussen, summoned the top US diplomat in Copenhagen to his office to complain that the United States is running a covert operation in Greenland, a semi-autonomous part of the Danish kingdom.

OPINION

EU leaders must master Trump management

Oped, Gwynne Dyer, Published on 19/08/2025

» It's like one of those slapstick comedies from the early days of silent films: the "Keystone Cops" movies, perhaps, or Buster Keaton's various efforts. Lots of people rushing around, constant reversals of fortune, and many pratfalls.

OPINION

China holds back for now over Taiwan

Oped, Gwynne Dyer, Published on 25/07/2025

» 'I hope I am wrong. My gut tells me we [the US and China] will fight in 2025," wrote General Mike Minihan, head of US Air Mobility Command, in a private memo two years ago. There are still five months to go, but I'm going to go out on a limb and say that he's wrong.

OPINION

Climate effort needs to be more proactive

Oped, Gwynne Dyer, Published on 21/07/2025

» Start with China, the world's biggest emitter by far of greenhouse gases: 27% of the entire world's emissions, and more than twice that of the second-biggest emitter, the United States. In fact, it's more than all the emissions of all the other developed countries combined. Bad China.

OPINION

Today, Tuvalu. Tomorrow, the entire world

Oped, Gwynne Dyer, Published on 15/07/2025

» Some big changes arrive with a bang, but usually they sort of sneak in and you barely notice them at first. Last month's big change saw the creation of the world's first climate-change visas. It's a way of giving potential climate refugees some hope and some dignity, and it would certainly be an improvement on the current migration mess.

OPINION

Musk, Trump and Mao have a lot in common

Oped, Gwynne Dyer, Published on 11/07/2025

» The only place where some people still see Elon Musk as a political genius is China. "Brother Musk, you've got over a billion people on our side backing you," wrote a fan on Weibo, China's biggest social media site. "If Elon Musk were to found a political party," wrote another, "his tech-driven mindset could inject fresh energy into politics."