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OPINION

Is the 80-year 'Long Peace' about to end?

News, Gwynne Dyer, Published on 07/03/2026

» The Trump/Netanyahu war in the Middle East will not spread any further, and nothing going on there threatens our collective existence. The only countries that have nukes in the Middle East are Israel and the United States. Iran has none now and has never even been close to having them.

OPINION

After 66 years, Cuba's regime faces reckoning

News, Gwynne Dyer, Published on 21/02/2026

» Fidel Castro and his communist band of brothers have had a good long run in power (66 years), but they have run out of road.

OPINION

Surviving the collapse of the population

Oped, Gwynne Dyer, Published on 13/02/2026

» 'To them that hath shall [more] be given" is generally a reliable guide, especially in economic matters, but it doesn't work if the beneficiaries are too stupid to take advantage of the gift. The scarce and precious commodity in this case being people, who are in increasingly short supply.

OPINION

What would happen if Khamenei falls?

Oped, Gwynne Dyer, Published on 05/01/2026

» The demonstrations began again in Iran last week, only two years after the "Woman, Life, Freedom" movement convulsed the country for months. However, the current protests are potentially much broader than that episode because they are driven by the collapse in Iran's currency, the rial (now 1,420,000 to the US dollar), and the explosive rise in the cost of living.

OPINION

Musk's Starship: If it sounds too good to be true...

News, Gwynne Dyer, Published on 06/12/2025

» Elon Musk promised to build a spaceship that would put people and cargo into Earth orbit at one-hundredth of the current cost per kilo and even enable human beings to create a colony on Mars. A great many people were seduced by the idea, including me.

OPINION

Iran: Drought, incompetence, revolution?

News, Gwynne Dyer, Published on 22/11/2025

» Twenty years of strict sanctions on Iran by both the United States and the United Nations did not bring down the regime of the ayatollahs. Half a dozen major waves of non-violent protest involving several thousand deaths have not brought it down either. Even last June's massive bombing campaign by Israel and the US did not bring it to heel.

OPINION

How a bad Trump edit became a global controversy

Oped, Gwynne Dyer, Published on 14/11/2025

» I have spent thousands of hours sitting alongside video editors working on productions quite similar to the Panorama documentary that has landed the British Broadcasting Corporation with the threat of a billion-dollar libel suit by Donald Trump. I think I know what happened.

OPINION

Another day, another massacre

News, Gwynne Dyer, Published on 08/11/2025

» The ceasefire in Gaza, however shaky, is freeing up some bandwidth for the world's media to fret about other ongoing massacres, and UN Secretary General António Guterres wasted no time in turning the spotlight on Sudan. "The horrifying crisis in Sudan … is spiralling out of control," he said on Monday -- but he didn't explain why.

OPINION

Arab fraternity weakens and hegemons rule

News, Gwynne Dyer, Published on 01/11/2025

» 'This is the way the world ends, not with a bang but a whimper," wrote T S Eliot in 1925, probably responding to the profoundly unsatisfactory aftermath of World War I (although with a poet, you never really know). At any rate, it's happening again, this time in the Middle East.

OPINION

Kingdom of Denmark vs the Shadow Fleet

News, Gwynne Dyer, Published on 25/10/2025

» Back in the 16th and 17th centuries, two-thirds of the Danish kingdom's income came from taxes paid by every ship passing through the Øresund ('The Sound') Strait, the only exit from the Baltic Sea. Each ship had to declare its cargo -- and if the Danes thought they were undervaluing it, Denmark had the right to buy it at the declared price.