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Don't count on innovation to overcome stagnation
News, Satyajit Das, Published on 30/05/2017
» Innovation, everybody hopes, will rescue the world from economic stagnation. I'm not so sure.
There is no simple solution to the looming downturn
News, Satyajit Das, Published on 16/06/2016
» A growing number of economists seem convinced that the US, EU and China are all headed for a prolonged period of sluggish growth -- secular stagnation, in the words of former US Treasury Secretary Larry Summers. A close parallel would seem to be 1990s Japan. There, too, the bursting of debt-funded asset price bubbles gave way to multiple rounds of fiscal stimulus, massive monetary easing and rock-bottom interest rates. Rescue efforts stabilised conditions but couldn't spark a sustainable recovery, leaving the economy mired in low growth, low inflation and high debt.