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  • News & article

    Climate pact underestimates risk

    News, Gwynne Dyer, Published on 14/12/2015

    » The climate deal that almost 200 countries agreed to in Paris on Saturday was far better than most insiders dared to hope even one month ago.

  • News & article

    North Korea's real nuclear deterrent

    News, Gwynne Dyer, Published on 11/02/2016

    » Here we go again. North Korea launched a ballistic missile of intercontinental range on Sunday (saying it was just putting up a satellite) only weeks after it carried out its fourth nuclear weapons test (which it claimed was a hydrogen bomb). The United Nations Security Council strongly condemned it, and even the People's Republic of China, North Korea's only ally, expressed its "regret" at what the country had done.

  • News & article

    Saudi Arabia's risky gamble is driving the oil downturn

    News, Gwynne Dyer, Published on 20/02/2016

    » ‘The market can stay irrational longer than you can stay solvent,” said John Maynard Keynes (or maybe it wasn’t him, but no matter). At any rate, that was the eternal verity the Saudi Arabians were counting on when they decided to let oil production rip — and the oil price collapse — in late 2014.

  • News & article

    China: Another Chairman Mao?

    News, Gwynne Dyer, Published on 11/03/2016

    » Opening the National People's Congress in Beijing last week, Prime Minister Li Keqiang set China's growth target for the coming year at 6.5-7%, the lowest in decades. Only two years ago, he said that 7% was the lowest acceptable growth rate, but he has had to eat his words. He really isn't in charge of very much any more.

  • News & article

    Face-off looms over South China Sea

    News, Gwynne Dyer, Published on 07/07/2016

    » Next Tuesday, the International Tribunal for the Law of the Sea will issue its ruling on China's claim to practically all of the South China Sea. And already the main military contenders are moving more forces into the region.

  • News & article

    Imagination: President Trump in power

    News, Gwynne Dyer, Published on 22/07/2016

    » Let us suppose that it is July 2017. Let us suppose that Donald Trump, nominated as the Republican candidate for the US presidency exactly a year ago, won the November election -- quite narrowly, perhaps, but the polls are certainly suggesting that such a thing is possible. So he was inaugurated six months ago, and has started to put his campaign promises into effect.

  • News & article

    Ignorance is guiding our policy-making

    News, Gwynne Dyer, Published on 05/08/2016

    » To cut to the chase, the five most ignorant countries in the world are Mexico, India, Brazil, Peru and New Zealand. And the five best informed are South Korea, followed by Ireland, Poland, China and the United States. Ignorant about what? About the realities in their own country.

  • News & article

    Is 2016 the new 1936?

    News, Gwynne Dyer, Published on 17/08/2016

    » Hegel remarks somewhere that all great world-historic facts and personages appear, so to speak, twice. He forgot to add: the first time as tragedy, the second time as farce -- Karl Marx, 1852.

  • News & article

    Duterte is a problem for the Philippines, not the UN

    News, Gwynne Dyer, Published on 25/08/2016

    » Rodrigo Duterte, the new president of the Philippines, gives good copy. Here's a quote from his final election rally: "Forget the laws on human rights. If I make it to the presidential palace, I will do just what I did as mayor. You drug pushers, hold-up men and do-nothings, you better go out. Because I'd kill you. I'll dump all of you into Manila Bay, and fatten all the fish there."

  • News & article

    Brazil picks up pieces after Rousseff's fall

    News, Gwynne Dyer, Published on 09/09/2016

    » On Tuesday former Brazilian president Dilma Rousseff left the presidential palace in Brasilia and boarded a plane for her adopted home city of Porto Alegre. She leaves behind a successor who risks indictment for far worse offences than the ones that brought her down, and a country that has lost its right to a place among the Brazil, Russia, India, China and South Africa (Brics) association.

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