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OPINION

Why gold matters in a changing world

Oped, Chartchai Parasuk, Published on 13/11/2025

» After reading my previous article, "Thailand has become the sick man of Asean", a good friend asked me what would happen to the Thai economy after becoming the sick man?

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OPINION

Tariff talks are unlikely to go as planned

Oped, Chartchai Parasuk, Published on 24/07/2025

» It is only a week away from the Aug 1 deadline when the 36% reciprocal tariff levied on Thai exports to the US will take effect.

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OPINION

The two ways to satisfy Trump on trade

Oped, Chartchai Parasuk, Published on 10/07/2025

» I am terribly sorry for miscalculating the US's reciprocal tariff for Thailand at 35% in my previous article, when the actual rate imposed by Mr Trump on Monday was 36%.

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OPINION

Key to success: Give what Trump wants

Oped, Chartchai Parasuk, Published on 10/04/2025

» This article is for all nations wanting US President Donald Trump to lower or eliminate reciprocal tariffs, not just Thailand. I feel that the issue is of immediate urgency, and I am writing this article as a special edition.

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OPINION

The economy is waiting to hit an iceberg

Oped, Chartchai Parasuk, Published on 20/03/2025

» This is not a scene from the 1997 film Titanic. On the evening of April 14th 1912, a small Canadian fishing boat, skippered by a French-Canadian captain called "Jacques-Chai", approached the Titanic wanting to convey a very important message to Captain Edward Smith. The message was that there was a sea of icebergs, one was particularly big, about 200 miles ahead.

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OPINION

Little cause for optimism in year ahead

News, Chartchai Parasuk, Published on 09/01/2025

» One would expect the first article of the year to be about economic predictions. I will certainly do that but not in today's article. It will be in my next one. The reason being that my predictions will not be as positive as those of others.

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OPINION

GDP figures don't reflect real situation

Oped, Chartchai Parasuk, Published on 26/12/2024

» This article is the last for 2024. I have made many bad predictions about the Thai economy throughout the year. Many became true, like the contracting credit market, the NPL explosion, and an ineffective cash handout programme. Many have not become true (or have they?). One was GDP growth. Instead of shrinking as I predicted, GDP growth rates improved from quarter to quarter. They were 1.6% for Q1, 2.2% for Q2, and 3.0% for Q3. And it is expected to be 3.5% for Q4 to fulfil the annual 2.6% growth projection.

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OPINION

Stimulus packages need paradigm shift

Oped, Chartchai Parasuk, Published on 03/10/2024

» Ever wonder why Thailand's economic growth is consistently lower than its peers? Even with a flood of foreign tourists of 28.1 million (154.4% growth) in 2023, our GDP growth was 1.9% compared to 5.5% in the Philippines, 5% in both Indonesia and Vietnam, and 3.7% in Malaysia. The growth figure for the first half of this year of 1.9% is far worse than many of our Asean friends.

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OPINION

Digital wallet tokens could hit scheme

Oped, Chartchai Parasuk, Published on 08/08/2024

» I bet the government never thought of this when they thought of the Digital Wallet scheme. It probably does not make sense to it that there could be millions of people shunning pseudo money, namely Digital Wallet Tokens (DWTs). Perhaps, in the government's mind, a DWT is almost on a par with genuine money -- fiat money.

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OPINION

Stark reality behind economic figures

Oped, Chartchai Parasuk, Published on 16/05/2024

» At the time of writing this, the official Q1 GDP has not been announced by the National Economic and Social Development Council (NESDC). I expect the growth figure will be around 1.2%. My own estimation, using the Output Approach and actual sectoral production index, gives a growth figure of 0.98%. Detailed data are in the below table.