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OPINION

Risk of crisis growing more acute

Oped, Chartchai Parasuk, Published on 05/03/2026

» This article is a follow-up to my previous piece titled "Fiscal deficit will trigger 2026 crisis". In that article, I argued Thailand's heavy dependence on external liquidity, combined with the government's need for 860 billion baht annually to finance its deficits, would lead to a severe liquidity shortage and, ultimately, a financial crisis.

OPINION

Fiscal deficit will trigger 2026 crisis

Oped, Chartchai Parasuk, Published on 19/02/2026

» If readers want to be fully convinced that there will be a financial crisis in 2026, I can do that in three minutes. Readers need only look at the last two columns of the attached table, which depict the financing situation of the Thai economy in 2025 (actual) and 2026 (projected).

OPINION

In an uncertain world, gold is a comfort

Oped, Chartchai Parasuk, Published on 05/02/2026

» With Thai citizens heading to the polls this Sunday to decide which party will form the next government, I have decided to postpone my article on the economic crisis for another two weeks.

OPINION

VAT hikes alone won't narrow deficit

Oped, Chartchai Parasuk, Published on 27/11/2025

» This article is not meant to attack Finance Minister Ekniti Nitithanprapas’s Medium-Term Fiscal Framework (MTFF) for the fiscal years from 2026 to 2030. It is meant to emphasise the fragility of a Thai fiscal position that requires multiple revenue enhancement measures.

OPINION

Thailand now 'the sick man of Asean'

Oped, Chartchai Parasuk, Published on 30/10/2025

» The inspiration for this article comes from the International Monetary Fund's (IMF) World Economic Outlook (WEO) report for the month of October.

OPINION

Problems await the new BoT governor

Oped, Chartchai Parasuk, Published on 04/09/2025

» The first problem incoming Bank of Thailand (BoT) governor Vitai Ratanakorn will face is political uncertainty.

OPINION

Dealing with Trump is half the story

Oped, Chartchai Parasuk, Published on 07/08/2025

» This will be an eye-opening article. It is an analysis that readers have not read anywhere. No one seems to realise that after a mega-earthquake in the ocean, giant tsunamis will always follow. If Donald Trump's reciprocal tariffs are comparable to a mega economic earthquake, President Xi Jinping's reactions will have the impact of a giant economic tsunami.

OPINION

Tariff talks are unlikely to go as planned

Oped, Chartchai Parasuk, Published on 24/07/2025

» It is only a week away from the Aug 1 deadline when the 36% reciprocal tariff levied on Thai exports to the US will take effect.

OPINION

The economy is waiting to hit an iceberg

Oped, Chartchai Parasuk, Published on 20/03/2025

» This is not a scene from the 1997 film Titanic. On the evening of April 14th 1912, a small Canadian fishing boat, skippered by a French-Canadian captain called "Jacques-Chai", approached the Titanic wanting to convey a very important message to Captain Edward Smith. The message was that there was a sea of icebergs, one was particularly big, about 200 miles ahead.

OPINION

Thailand's financial system on the brink

Oped, Chartchai Parasuk, Published on 20/02/2025

» The issue of a financial crisis hitting Thailand is of grave importance. If it happens, it will push the Thai economy back by five years, triggering indescribable pain and suffering.