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  • News & article

    Time to stop making empty promises

    Oped, Chartchai Parasuk, Published on 07/03/2024

    » The Nikkei 225 Index just broke 40,000, surpassing the record high of 1989. The stellar stock market performance happened amid the fact that Japan's economy is officially in recession after two consecutive quarters of negative GDP growth.

  • News & article

    B600 minimum wage is quite doable

    Oped, Chartchai Parasuk, Published on 15/12/2022

    » The most debated economic topic of the month must be Pheu Thai Party's campaign promise to raise the minimum wage to 600 baht per day by 2027, from the current minimum wage of 354 baht.

  • News & article

    Fed's rate rises might have way to go yet

    Oped, Chartchai Parasuk, Published on 28/07/2022

    » By the time this article is published, readers will know how much the US Fed funds rate has been raised for the fourth time this year. It does not really matter whether the rate is raised by 0.75% or 1% this time because the Fed will need to keep raising the rate (FFR) until it can effectively control inflation.

  • News & article

    Spectre of 2023 global recession looms

    Oped, Chartchai Parasuk, Published on 19/05/2022

    » In economics, there is no such thing as a surprise. Major economic events like rising inflation, interest rate hikes, currency depreciation, even economic recession can be detected as far as a year ahead.

  • News & article

    Can Omicron spur a Great Depression?

    Oped, Chartchai Parasuk, Published on 02/12/2021

    » The emergence of a new Covid-19 variant -- Omicron -- has caused quite a stir globally just as many nations are on the recovery track from the Delta variant. Scientists worry that the latest strain first detected in South Africa has as many as 50 mutations, 32 of them on the spike protein which theoretically makes it much more transmissible than the Delta variant.

  • News & article

    How to save country when it's broke

    Oped, Chartchai Parasuk, Published on 05/08/2021

    » This is not really a good time for economists and/or economic research institutions to make GDP growth projections for Thailand as the Covid-19 pandemic is far from settling down. Unstable economic conditions have caused a well-known research institute to revise its 2021 growth projections five times already.

  • News & article

    Time to accept we can't beat Covid-19

    Oped, Chartchai Parasuk, Published on 08/07/2021

    » If the government does not wish to see a collapse of society, it must rethink its Covid-19 strategy. First, it must admit that the Covid-19 outbreak is not controllable after the outbreak has changed from the cluster level (individual based) to the community level (activity based).

  • News & article

    No money left to ease Covid blues

    News, Chartchai Parasuk, Published on 13/05/2021

    » In the second quarter of 2020, the Thai economy shrank as much as 12.1%, resulting in a loss of 610 billion baht in GDP. Such a huge loss was the impact of Covid-19, caused by fear of the pandemic, the impact of strict lockdown measures, and a loss of revenue from foreign tourists.

  • News & article

    Money to boost economy tough to find

    Oped, Chartchai Parasuk, Published on 29/04/2021

    » Wow. What a difference two weeks makes! In my previous article, I wrote, with grave concern, that over 6,000 people had been infected with Covid-19 within just two weeks of the third outbreak. Two weeks later, the number of cases from the third wave alone, which started early this month, has skyrocketed five-fold to over 30,000 cases. Who knows when and how this round will end?

  • News & article

    New surge a blow to weak economy

    Oped, Chartchai Parasuk, Published on 15/04/2021

    » Today's article is "breaking news" as I am in the midst of writing a five-part series about the liquidity crisis risk facing the country. I have already published the first two parts of the series -- origins of the risk and experience from 1997 economic crisis. I still have three more articles to go. They are: (1) warning signs of the risk, (2) shielding oneself from the risk, and (3) appropriate macro-economic policy responses. I do not want to break the series because warning signs are getting stronger every day such as the alarming US$8.4 billion (263 billion baht) outflow in March and the 154 billion baht government cash deficit in February.

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