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  • BUSINESS

    Mid-year economic outlook: Growing with a bubble?

    Business, Tientip Subhanij, Published on 30/06/2017

    » For the first time in several years, the World Bank has not adjusted its global growth forecast downward, even though there are signs of new risks. It foresees the world economy recording solid growth of 2.7% this year, improving to 2.9% in 2018 and 2019 -- thanks to the improving performance of large emerging economies such as China, India and Russia and a recovery in world trade after two bad years.

  • BUSINESS

    Investment: A great rotation and a market bull run?

    Business, Tientip Subhanij, Published on 24/02/2017

    » I started investing in the stock market a long time ago and I have been through many ups and downs of stock market cycles. Given the experience, I am generally quite resilient when it comes to stock market crashes. In the nearly 10 years since the subprime crisis in 2008, the Thai stock market has performed very well. In fact, if you had been investing in Thai equities since then, you would have received a total return including dividends much higher than if you had invested in any other neighbouring countries. Over the past year alone, the SET index has gone up 22.6%.

  • BUSINESS

    Global economic outlook: Cautious optimism for new year

    Business, Tientip Subhanij, Published on 30/12/2016

    » December has come once more. To me this is the time to assess how we did the previous year and to think about what might lie ahead. I think we all agree that this has been a year of Black Swan events -- extremely surprising developments that have major consequences.

  • BUSINESS

    All eyes on the British vote on membership in the EU

    Business, Tientip Subhanij, Published on 24/06/2016

    » It's been almost impossible to turn on the TV lately without seeing a debate or analysis of whether the United Kingdom would be better off inside or outside the European Union. This morning many of you probably will be glued to your screens again as the votes in the Brexit referendum are counted. By around noon Thailand time, we should know whether Britons have chosen the status quo or an option seen as inconceivable not long ago.

  • BUSINESS

    Negative interest rates: another new normal?

    Business, Tientip Subhanij, Published on 26/02/2016

    » I went to the bank the other day and found one of the accounts I had put aside for many years had hardly increased in value. I never used to think much about my savings in the bank, as I always assumed that over time, money would work for you.

  • BUSINESS

    Goodbye 2015: A farewell to easy money

    Business, Tientip Subhanij, Published on 25/12/2015

    » This Christmas marks the beginning of the end to an unprecedented era of easy money, a period in which businesses, investors and consumers had access to credit at cheaper prices. The US Federal Reserve last week voted unanimously to raise key interest rate by a quarter-percentage point after keeping rates near zero since the subprime crisis. The last increase was almost a decade ago in June 2006 -- a year before the first iPhone was released.

  • BUSINESS

    Life after the eventual Fed rate hike

    Business, Tientip Subhanij, Published on 25/09/2015

    » People often ask me what will happen to the value of the baht. After the US Federal Reserve's decision to hold back from raising interest rates last week, the questions have only increased. The Thai currency has depreciated a lot this year, falling by 9.57%, much more than the often-talked-about yuan devaluation, which sent that currency declining by only 2.75% so far this year. We are, however, not alone in this devaluation trend. Malaysia and Indonesia have seen their currencies tumble as much as 23% and 17.5%, respectively.

  • BUSINESS

    India: The world's next shining star

    Business, Tientip Subhanij, Published on 31/07/2015

    » Good news is hard to find these days, especially in Thailand. Our exports tumbled 7.87% in June, resulting in a 4.84% contraction in US dollar value in the first six months of the year. Meanwhile, the stock market is falling almost every day as corporate earnings weaken.

  • BUSINESS

    The groans of August: yuan devaluation and beyond

    Business, Tientip Subhanij, Published on 28/08/2015

    » The month of August does not usually bring good news to global financial markets. While it is a holiday time for many people, August has often witnessed the first signs of cracks in the global economy. We all remember the Russian debt default in 1998, the run on the British bank Northern Rock in 2007, the collapse of US financial markets in 2008 and the US loss of its AAA credit rating in 2011.

  • BUSINESS

    The year of the goat could become dangerous

    Business, Tientip Subhanij, Published on 30/01/2015

    » Welcome to the Year of the Goat. The goat is a symbol of harmony, peace and tranquillity. Despite this, I have recently received several warning messages about how this year will turn out to be a terrible year. Personally, it is supposed to be a good year for me and my zodiac sign, but it does not seem to be the case for the world in general.

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