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Showing 1-8 of 8 results
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Is a global recession really coming up?
Oped, Jeffrey Frankel, Published on 19/01/2023
» The world's leading economists spent most of 2022 convincing themselves that, if the global economy was not already in a recession, it was about to fall into one. But with the year 2022 end, the global slump has been postponed to the present 2023.
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The secret of the greenback's appreciation
News, Jeffrey Frankel, Published on 24/09/2022
» Despite rampant inflation and slowing growth, the US dollar keeps going from strength to strength. Since May last year, the greenback has risen by 28% against the yen and 20% against the pound. In addition, it has appreciated 19% against the euro, reaching parity for the first time since 2002.
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Get ready for 'reverse currency wars' phenomenon
News, Jeffrey Frankel, Published on 06/06/2022
» The US dollar is up 12% against the euro over the past year and, at €0.93 (34.22 baht), is approaching parity. If prices of oil and other commodities now seem high in dollar terms, they look even higher in euros. With the greenback surging, and inflation in many countries currently at multi-decade highs, we may be entering so-called "reverse currency wars" -- in which countries compete to strengthen their currencies' foreign-exchange values.
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Fighting the 'last inflation war' once again
Oped, Jeffrey Frankel, Published on 04/03/2022
» In 1955, then-US Federal Reserve chair William McChesney Martin famously said that the Fed's job was to take away the punch bowl "just when the party was really warming up", rather than waiting until the revellers were drunk and raucous. Decades later, in the aftermath of 1970s inflation, it became an article of faith among monetary policymakers that they should not wait until elevated inflation showed its face before reining in an overheating economy. Today, with inflation surging, they are developing a renewed appreciation for the punch-bowl metaphor.
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El Salvador's Bitcoin bet is a dangerous folly
News, Jeffrey Frankel, Published on 30/09/2021
» El Salvador this month became the first country to adopt a cryptocurrency -- in this case, Bitcoin -- as legal tender. I say the first, because others might follow. But they should think twice, because the idea is highly dubious -- and likely to be economically dangerous for developing countries in particular.
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Terms which misdefined 2020
Oped, Jeffrey Frankel, Published on 01/01/2021
» US President Donald Trump and the Covid-19 pandemic dominated the news headlines in 2020. Three terms, in particular, came to symbolise the year: "witch hunt", "black swan" and "exponential".
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The Blind Alley of Monetary Populism
Business, Jeffrey Frankel, Published on 14/11/2016
» In the US and elsewhere nowadays, populist politicians often claim that easy monetary policy is hurting ordinary workers, thereby exacerbating income inequality. But while inequality is a problem, raising interest rates is no way to address it.
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China's Stock-Market Red Herring
Business, Jeffrey Frankel, Published on 01/02/2016
» With the Shanghai composite index down more than 40% since last June, investors worldwide are watching the decline with growing concern -- but not because they are invested in the plummeting market (China stocks are overwhelmingly held by Chinese). Rather, the fear is that plunging equity prices mean that China's economy is going down the tubes.
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