Showing 1-10 of 10 results
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Is a global recession really coming up?
Oped, Jeffrey Frankel, Published on 19/01/2023
» The world's leading economists spent most of 2022 convincing themselves that, if the global economy was not already in a recession, it was about to fall into one. But with the year 2022 end, the global slump has been postponed to the present 2023.
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Let the WTO referee carbon border taxes
Oped, Jeffrey Frankel, Published on 08/12/2022
» Perhaps the most important task confronting the international order is the enforcement of national limits on greenhouse-gas emissions, such as those that were negotiated in the 2015 Paris agreement. Carbon border adjustments could give these limits teeth, but fair application requires a revived World Trade Organization.
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The secret of the greenback's appreciation
News, Jeffrey Frankel, Published on 24/09/2022
» Despite rampant inflation and slowing growth, the US dollar keeps going from strength to strength. Since May last year, the greenback has risen by 28% against the yen and 20% against the pound. In addition, it has appreciated 19% against the euro, reaching parity for the first time since 2002.
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International trade: Is it a help or a hindrance?
Oped, Jeffrey Frankel, Published on 22/06/2022
» Leading economies have been afflicted with new problems over the past year. The United States is struggling with both supply-chain blockages and a critical shortage of baby formula. The European Union faces the threat of scarce energy supplies, owing to sanctions on Russian fossil-fuel exports. And almost all countries are experiencing high inflation.
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Get ready for 'reverse currency wars' phenomenon
News, Jeffrey Frankel, Published on 06/06/2022
» The US dollar is up 12% against the euro over the past year and, at €0.93 (34.22 baht), is approaching parity. If prices of oil and other commodities now seem high in dollar terms, they look even higher in euros. With the greenback surging, and inflation in many countries currently at multi-decade highs, we may be entering so-called "reverse currency wars" -- in which countries compete to strengthen their currencies' foreign-exchange values.
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Fighting the 'last inflation war' once again
Oped, Jeffrey Frankel, Published on 04/03/2022
» In 1955, then-US Federal Reserve chair William McChesney Martin famously said that the Fed's job was to take away the punch bowl "just when the party was really warming up", rather than waiting until the revellers were drunk and raucous. Decades later, in the aftermath of 1970s inflation, it became an article of faith among monetary policymakers that they should not wait until elevated inflation showed its face before reining in an overheating economy. Today, with inflation surging, they are developing a renewed appreciation for the punch-bowl metaphor.
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El Salvador's Bitcoin bet is a dangerous folly
News, Jeffrey Frankel, Published on 30/09/2021
» El Salvador this month became the first country to adopt a cryptocurrency -- in this case, Bitcoin -- as legal tender. I say the first, because others might follow. But they should think twice, because the idea is highly dubious -- and likely to be economically dangerous for developing countries in particular.
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So what exactly's in a recession?
Oped, Jeffrey Frankel, Published on 26/06/2020
» On June 8, the Business Cycle Dating Committee of the National Bureau of Economic Research declared that economic activity in the United States had peaked in February 2020, formally marking the start of a recession. But we already knew that we were in a recession that had likely begun around that date. So, why does the NBER's formal declaration matter?
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The Blind Alley of Monetary Populism
Business, Jeffrey Frankel, Published on 14/11/2016
» In the US and elsewhere nowadays, populist politicians often claim that easy monetary policy is hurting ordinary workers, thereby exacerbating income inequality. But while inequality is a problem, raising interest rates is no way to address it.
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It's time to overhaul the price of fuel
News, Jeffrey Frankel, Published on 13/08/2015
» World oil prices, which have been highly volatile during the last decade, have fallen more than 50% over the past year. The economic effects have been negative overall for oil-exporting countries, and positive for oil-importing countries. But what about effects that are not directly economic?
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