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  • News & article

    Is an emerging-market crisis near?

    News, Satyajit Das, Published on 05/09/2018

    » Emerging-market stresses have been building since at least 2013. Investors may have forgotten the effect of the "taper tantrum" on the so-called Fragile Five -- Brazil, India, Indonesia, Turkey and South Africa -- a term coined by Morgan Stanley to describe their vulnerability to capital outflows. Monetary accommodation, lower current-account deficits and growth disguised the underlying challenges, attracting more capital to those markets.

  • News & article

    Extend-and-pretend runs out of puff

    News, Satyajit Das, Published on 06/02/2018

    » The default operating model today for seemingly all economics, business, social policy and environmental decisions is "extend and pretend", colloquially known as "kicking the can down the road". This approach brings forward benefits or gains, often based on cosmetic solutions, and defers risks or costs into the future. It's a convenient model for many reasons. But it's now in danger of breaking down.

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