Showing 1-10 of 17 results
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The European Project stands on the brink
News, Sutapa Amornvivat, Published on 15/03/2017
» The feverish environment that cultivated in Donald Trump's win in the US election is brewing strongly in Europe. Next month, the French are going to cast their votes for their next president. This election is unlike others as one of the top contenders promises an exit from the Eurozone within six months. Such a move by a core member country such as France could go down in history as the beginning of the end for the grand European Project.
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Another crack in China's financial stability
News, Sutapa Amornvivat, Published on 22/02/2017
» Last month, China's foreign exchange reserves just fell below the psychological threshold of $3 trillion. The event got people talking about yet another worldwide financial firestorm. For Thailand, things could get even rockier than in 2008 as the epicentre of the earthquake would be much closer to home this time around.
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Recovery on thin ice with Trump presidency
News, Sutapa Amornvivat, Published on 23/11/2016
» Donald Trump's win may derail the long journey of global recovery. This seismic shift in the political landscape stems from an internal economic root cause and likely extends into dire economic consequences globally, especially for emerging markets like Thailand. After much inconsistency in Mr Trump's presidential campaign, his team that will be unveiled over the next few weeks will be critical for the global outlook next year. It seems we will be "kept in suspense" into Christmas.
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All that glitters in CLMV markets is not gold
News, Sutapa Amornvivat, Published on 22/06/2016
» At the annual SCB EIC Conference held earlier this month, I mentioned the exuberant growth of our neighbours: Cambodia, Laos, Myanmar and Vietnam (CLMV) as a catalyst for service businesses in Thailand. Recently, our government has also initiated a business council among CLMV and Thailand to facilitate information sharing and troubleshoot trade and investment challenges facing private investors. This is a good effort to find a new source of growth to revitalise the Thai economy.
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A hopeful tale for China's old and new economies
News, Sutapa Amornvivat, Published on 16/03/2016
» Optimism was in the air for the Chinese economy at the IIF-G20 conference in Shanghai late last month. The annual forum set the stage for leaders in the financial community to share their economic perspectives and voice their concerns prior to the G20 meeting. This year, in particular, at the height of global fears of its crash landing, the crowd was listening closely for insights on how China's economic transition would unfold.
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Megaprojects provide stimulus and long-term gains
News, Sutapa Amornvivat, Published on 17/02/2016
» The volatility in global financial markets has recently picked up again on the back of a series of mediocre economic data across the globe. Poor results for Thai exports in 2015 could very well extend further, putting a spotlight on the need for public investment more than ever. Without a doubt, the cabinet will be called upon to churn out the public infrastructure projects as promised.
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Mega-investment is no longer a choice
News, Sutapa Amornvivat, Published on 27/01/2016
» As the year of the monkey kicks off, anxiety abounds. For the first time in nearly half a century, no single economic power enjoys bullish prospects. In the 1980s, Japan was at the height of its "miracle" with record salaries and employment. In the 1990s, the United States rode the success of rapid technological change that created waves of new jobs as well as the dot com bubble. At the turn of the millennium, the European Union was exuberant with the promise of growth driven by a streamlined internal market and single currency. Then China's accession to the World Trade Organisation helped it re-emerge as one of the world's great economic powers, marching briskly forward even during the global financial crisis of 2008. Today, there is no comparable big winner.
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AEC puts Thai public healthcare at risk
News, Sutapa Amornvivat, Published on 20/05/2015
» Amid all the handwringing that Thailand has lost its export mojo, let's keep some good news in mind. In "exports" of services, a few Thai industries are thriving. Healthcare is especially successful, thanks in part to inbound medical tourism, which has helped Thai private healthcare providers enjoy solid growth for five years. During this time, the industry's listed companies have consistently outperformed the rest of the Thai stock market.
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Cheap oil alone cannot grease the economy
News, Sutapa Amornvivat, Published on 21/01/2015
» Crude oil prices have more than halved since July, with a dramatic drop towards the end of 2014 as the Organisation of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (Opec) refused to curb output. The Thai equity market tumbled because energy stocks contribute as much as 20% to the SET Index market capitalisation. But most other sectors remained flat and there are a few sectors like consumer and transportation stocks that actually emerged as winners.
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How to build a sustainable tourism future in Phuket
News, Sutapa Amornvivat, Published on 24/12/2014
» Phuket's vision has major consequences for the nation's economy. Thailand's exports are sluggish and commodity prices are falling. One of the few engines that can rescue growth next year is tourism.
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