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From Trump to Europe crises, what to watch in 2018
News, Peter Apps, Published on 29/12/2017
» Professional forecasters like to say that making predictions is difficult, particularly about the future. As we reach the end of 2017, however, here are some of the key themes -- and questions -- that look set to shape global events next year.
Kim knows exactly what he's doing
News, Peter Apps, Published on 10/03/2017
» With a suspected role in the assassination of his estranged half-brother and a string of increasingly aggressive missile tests, the North Korean leader appears to be testing the patience not just of Washington but also his key ally, China. It's a high-stakes game that may push the region into the worst conflict it has ever seen. Kim Jong-un's actions have a ruthless internal logic, however, and while he has a plan, there is no sign that anyone has a coherent strategy for stopping him.
Yes, 2016 was bad. But next year risks being far worse
News, Peter Apps, Published on 23/12/2016
» The killing of Russia's ambassador to Turkey on Monday evening might have prompted knee-jerk comparisons to the 1914 assassination of Archduke Franz Ferdinand, but it almost certainly won't spark a World War I-type conflict. The lethal truck attack that killed 12 in Berlin a few hours later, however, could ratchet up the prospect of yet another political shock in Europe.
Year of female leaders
News, Peter Apps, Published on 13/07/2016
» It now seems extremely likely that by the middle of January 2017, three of the world's six largest economic powers will be led by women.