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OPINION

Don't rely on last year's trends for global economy

Oped, Published on 16/01/2024

» Behavioural economists have popularised the term "recency bias" to describe our tendency to be disproportionately influenced by the latest events compared to earlier ones. Could this cognitive phenomenon explain why numerous analysts have a rather optimistic tilt for the world economy in 2024? Or are there really positive trends counterbalancing the obvious and mounting challenges to global growth?

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OPINION

Retailers can manage Red Sea shipping delays

News, Published on 13/01/2024

» Just when it looked like inflation's grip on consumers was easing, another obstacle has emerged for both retailers and central bankers: difficulty accessing the Suez Canal.

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OPINION

3.2% GDP growth 'pie in the sky'

News, Chartchai Parasuk, Published on 11/01/2024

» This year must be my lucky year. One of the key points of this article is to underline the risk of financial crisis compared to 1997. But this time it would not come from bank failures, it would come from defaults on corporate bonds and commercial papers. The reasons are the low cash position of corporates from many years of weak economic performance and, most importantly, today's super-tight domestic liquidity to refinance matured bonds and papers. I am a little wary that readers may scorn such a bold opinion. However, out of the blue, my opinion was proven correct on Monday when Italian-Thai Development (ITD) announced the postponement of payments on its bonds due in 2024 to 2026 with a total value of 14.45 billion baht for two years.

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OPINION

Don't forget mental health

Oped, Editorial, Published on 30/12/2023

» News that public prosecutors rejected a police investigation into the October Siam Paragon shooting that involved a 14-year-old suspect is the latest twist to a much-watched case that has unnerved the whole country.

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OPINION

Will foreign investors still be wooed?

Oped, Chartchai Parasuk, Published on 28/12/2023

» This is my last article for 2023. Appropriately, I should write about the 2024 economic outlook but I have decided to postpone that to be the first article of 2024 as the analysis might be too unpleasant to digest right now. However, I will leave a "teaser" for readers to ponder over during the long holidays. As such, I am left with two choices: an article about informal debt -- I estimate outstanding debt to be over 400 billion baht and that it could have strong ties with grey money -- or an article about Thailand's ability to attract foreign investors, as our Prime Minister Srettha Thavisin travels all over the world to attract them. In the end, I opted for the latter.

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OPINION

Debtors rock but creditors may not roll

Oped, Published on 26/12/2023

» In its latest World Economic Outlook, the International Monetary Fund (IMF) reported that a rising share of countries -- 56% of low-income countries and 25% of emerging markets -- are "in or at high levels of debt distress".

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OPINION

Wage woes need fixing

Oped, Editorial, Published on 20/12/2023

» Today, the National Tripartite Wage Committee again meets to reconsider the latest daily minimum wage hike proposal.

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OPINION

2024 GDP forecast is wishful thinking

Oped, Chartchai Parasuk, Published on 14/12/2023

» If one thinks 2023 was a not-so-good year for the Thai economy because GDP growth is likely below 2%, 2024 could be worse owing to three major economic risks: liquidity inadequacy, high gasoline price, and high electricity cost.

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OPINION

King Charles' blue tie speaks volumes to Greeks

Published on 05/12/2023

» NEW YORK - Can a tie really bind you to an opinion? Greek and British journalists traded flurries of speculation last week after King Charles III wore a bright blue cravat (and matching pocket square) as he addressed the COP28 climate conference in Dubai.

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OPINION

Rethink debt servicing

News, Editorial, Published on 01/12/2023

» Informal debt has been a chronic problem in Thai society, affecting a large number of people, particularly low-income earners.