Showing 1 - 6 of 6
The end of The Great Moderation
Business, Piyasak Manason, Published on 28/07/2022
» It could be said that the era of economic normalcy is over. For about two decades before the 2008-09 global financial crisis, we witnessed what economists came to call "The Great Moderation" -- an era of moderate economic growth, low inflation, low interest rates and improved fiscal discipline. The US dollar was relatively weak while other currencies such as the yen, euro, yuan and even the baht appreciated.
The future is bright, is it not?
Business, Piyasak Manason, Published on 23/01/2021
» From an economic perspective, most of the current figures continue to look worse, especially in developed economies including the United States. The US job market, retail sales and real estate figures have deteriorated for the first time since last April.
Is this the turning point?
Business, Piyasak Manason, Published on 25/07/2020
» In our last column we warned about the great uncertainties surrounding the divergence of the economic and investment worlds, and how they may converge due to the rise of those uncertainties. It is possible that we may begin to see a turning point this month.
Old risks fade, new risks emerge
Business, Piyasak Manason, Published on 23/05/2020
» May has been the month when investment and economic reality diverged. The global economic contraction is deepening. Composite purchasing managers' indices, the most timely economic indicator, hit a record low globally in April. Preliminary estimates for May show a slightly slower rate of contraction, but the figures are still in deep negative territory.
Open for business? Proceed with caution
Business, Piyasak Manason, Published on 25/04/2020
» It has been more than a month since the world hunkered down to stop the spread of a deadly virus that has killed tens of thousands. More than two-thirds of the global economy has shut down as a result of social distancing measures.
Coping with three crises
Business, Piyasak Manason, Published on 28/03/2020
» Humanity is facing three crises at the same time: a public health crisis, an economic crisis and a financial crisis. Since these three crises are intertwined, to stop any one of them, we must stop the source.