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OPINION

Risk of crisis growing more acute

Oped, Chartchai Parasuk, Published on 05/03/2026

» This article is a follow-up to my previous piece titled "Fiscal deficit will trigger 2026 crisis". In that article, I argued Thailand's heavy dependence on external liquidity, combined with the government's need for 860 billion baht annually to finance its deficits, would lead to a severe liquidity shortage and, ultimately, a financial crisis.

OPINION

Why gold matters in a changing world

Oped, Chartchai Parasuk, Published on 13/11/2025

» After reading my previous article, "Thailand has become the sick man of Asean", a good friend asked me what would happen to the Thai economy after becoming the sick man?

OPINION

Why the economy is heading for a crisis

Oped, Chartchai Parasuk, Published on 02/05/2024

» I wish I were this good when it comes to picking winning lottery ticket. Just a few days ago, the Ministry of Finance (MOF) lowered its 2024 GDP growth projection from 2.8% to 2.4%, citing blah, blah, blah.

OPINION

Liquidity shortage a big risk for govt

News, Chartchai Parasuk, Published on 16/11/2023

» Liquidity is the most ignored issue in economics. Liquidity is considered to be like "oxygen" which is readily available when needed and, thus, has no intrinsic value.

OPINION

Getting ready for a new economic era

Oped, Chartchai Parasuk, Published on 01/06/2023

» Admittedly, I did not vote for Move Forward Party (MFP). I did like the idea of pro-democracy, equality for all, people-centric policies, and de-monopolisation, all of which they espouse.

OPINION

How far should interest rate hikes go?

Oped, Chartchai Parasuk, Published on 16/06/2022

» No doubt remains as to whether the Bank of Thailand will raise interest rates. The bank's governor has made it clear they must be raised to deter rising inflation, and that this must be done in a timely manner. Analysts have taken his speech as indicating a 25bp hike will be introduced at the upcoming Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) meeting scheduled for Aug 10.

OPINION

Oil price volatility demands tax rethink

Oped, Chartchai Parasuk, Published on 24/03/2022

» We are living in a time of unprecedented oil price volatility. On Feb 8, the world oil price (WTI Crude) was a little less than US$90 (3,030 baht) per barrel (dpb), but a month later the price jumped violently to 124 dpb.

OPINION

Time to accept we can't beat Covid-19

Oped, Chartchai Parasuk, Published on 08/07/2021

» If the government does not wish to see a collapse of society, it must rethink its Covid-19 strategy. First, it must admit that the Covid-19 outbreak is not controllable after the outbreak has changed from the cluster level (individual based) to the community level (activity based).

OPINION

When an economist meets a psychic

Oped, Chartchai Parasuk, Published on 04/02/2021

» I enjoy reading prophecies. There is one thing fortune tellers and economists have in common: they make predictions. As an economist, I use my knowledge, theories and actual data, to check whether these prophecies make economic sense.

OPINION

More thoughts on the post-Covid world

Oped, Chartchai Parasuk, Published on 27/08/2020

» News about Covid-19 vaccine development in Russia and other countries offers a ray of hope the pandemic could be ending soon and the world economy may return to normal.