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Search Result for “tourism slump”

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OPINION

In an uncertain world, gold is a comfort

Oped, Chartchai Parasuk, Published on 05/02/2026

» With Thai citizens heading to the polls this Sunday to decide which party will form the next government, I have decided to postpone my article on the economic crisis for another two weeks.

OPINION

The baht is almost as good as gold

Oped, Chartchai Parasuk, Published on 18/09/2025

» The baht is undoubtedly the strongest currency in the region. Over this year, the baht has appreciated 4.45% against the dollar while the Vietnamese dong has depreciated 8.47%.

OPINION

1% GDP growth impacts will be severe

Oped, Chartchai Parasuk, Published on 21/08/2025

» Where did I get the idea that GDP growth in the second half of 2025 would only be 1.0%? The answer is the government, as the National Economic and Social Development Council (NESDC) told me so.

OPINION

Dealing with Trump is half the story

Oped, Chartchai Parasuk, Published on 07/08/2025

» This will be an eye-opening article. It is an analysis that readers have not read anywhere. No one seems to realise that after a mega-earthquake in the ocean, giant tsunamis will always follow. If Donald Trump's reciprocal tariffs are comparable to a mega economic earthquake, President Xi Jinping's reactions will have the impact of a giant economic tsunami.

OPINION

The two ways to satisfy Trump on trade

Oped, Chartchai Parasuk, Published on 10/07/2025

» I am terribly sorry for miscalculating the US's reciprocal tariff for Thailand at 35% in my previous article, when the actual rate imposed by Mr Trump on Monday was 36%.

OPINION

Financing FY 2026 deficit will fall short

News, Chartchai Parasuk, Published on 12/06/2025

» My message is short, loud and clear. There will not be enough money to finance FY 2026's 860 billion baht budget deficit. Without enough money, the budget will collapse and take the economy down with it. The government is learning the bitter lesson of drying up finance sources now, but budget financing will be in crisis in the 2026 fiscal year.

OPINION

Thailand has lost its last growth engine

Oped, Chartchai Parasuk, Published on 29/05/2025

» Thailand has lost its last engine of growth and people are abandoning hope for a decent life.

OPINION

Thai-US trade talks are likely to fail

Oped, Chartchai Parasuk, Published on 15/05/2025

» Don't get too excited over news the temporary trade deal between China and the US will mean friendly negotiations with other countries. The US government still aims for higher import tax income to narrow its monstrous fiscal deficit. As explained in a previous article, Donald Trump would love to see an average tariff rate of around 20% or higher on imports. Higher customs revenue already allowed the US to achieve a budget surplus of US$258 billion (8.5 trillion baht) in April. The figure incorporates only a 10% universal tariff, as full reciprocal tariffs were postponed for 90 days from April 8. Just imagine how nice the US budget position would be with 20% or more import tariff revenue?

OPINION

Backing Trump on tariffs, not on tone

Oped, Chartchai Parasuk, Published on 17/04/2025

» I'm not a Donald Trump supporter. On the contrary, I dislike the US president for his abrasive behaviour. For Mr Trump, everything is nothing but numbers. Compassion has no meaning in his dictionary.

OPINION

The economy is waiting to hit an iceberg

Oped, Chartchai Parasuk, Published on 20/03/2025

» This is not a scene from the 1997 film Titanic. On the evening of April 14th 1912, a small Canadian fishing boat, skippered by a French-Canadian captain called "Jacques-Chai", approached the Titanic wanting to convey a very important message to Captain Edward Smith. The message was that there was a sea of icebergs, one was particularly big, about 200 miles ahead.