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OPINION

Some shock therapy or slow healing?

Oped, Chartchai Parasuk, Published on 02/04/2026

» Do readers prefer shock therapy or slow healing? This is not a health question, but an important economic one.

OPINION

Thailand now 'the sick man of Asean'

Oped, Chartchai Parasuk, Published on 30/10/2025

» The inspiration for this article comes from the International Monetary Fund's (IMF) World Economic Outlook (WEO) report for the month of October.

OPINION

Problems await the new BoT governor

Oped, Chartchai Parasuk, Published on 04/09/2025

» The first problem incoming Bank of Thailand (BoT) governor Vitai Ratanakorn will face is political uncertainty.

OPINION

Don't let politics mask economic woes

Oped, Chartchai Parasuk, Published on 26/06/2025

» As if economic problems in Thailand are not bad enough, political issues add to the complications. The worst is the split in the coalition. Even with an overwhelming majority of 314 (out of 493 parliamentary seats) prior to the break-up, the government could not push for many major policies, including the 10,000 baht cash handout scheme.

OPINION

Thailand has lost its last growth engine

Oped, Chartchai Parasuk, Published on 29/05/2025

» Thailand has lost its last engine of growth and people are abandoning hope for a decent life.

OPINION

Thai-US trade talks are likely to fail

Oped, Chartchai Parasuk, Published on 15/05/2025

» Don't get too excited over news the temporary trade deal between China and the US will mean friendly negotiations with other countries. The US government still aims for higher import tax income to narrow its monstrous fiscal deficit. As explained in a previous article, Donald Trump would love to see an average tariff rate of around 20% or higher on imports. Higher customs revenue already allowed the US to achieve a budget surplus of US$258 billion (8.5 trillion baht) in April. The figure incorporates only a 10% universal tariff, as full reciprocal tariffs were postponed for 90 days from April 8. Just imagine how nice the US budget position would be with 20% or more import tariff revenue?

OPINION

Thailand's financial system on the brink

Oped, Chartchai Parasuk, Published on 20/02/2025

» The issue of a financial crisis hitting Thailand is of grave importance. If it happens, it will push the Thai economy back by five years, triggering indescribable pain and suffering.

OPINION

Making sense of performance figures

Oped, Chartchai Parasuk, Published on 31/10/2024

» I have the duty of reviewing quarterly economic performances and making economic growth projections for a private research firm.

OPINION

Thaksin's 'vision' might be outdated

News, Chartchai Parasuk, Published on 05/09/2024

» This article is not meant to diminish the brilliance of the spiritual leader of the Pheu Thai Party, former prime minister Thaksin Shinawatra. It is to demonstrate that, despite his immense knowledge and vast experience, Thailand's current economic problems are caused by structural deficiencies and cannot be resolved by traditional stimulus measures. One needs a good understanding of economic principles to approach the problems correctly.

OPINION

Stark reality behind economic figures

Oped, Chartchai Parasuk, Published on 16/05/2024

» At the time of writing this, the official Q1 GDP has not been announced by the National Economic and Social Development Council (NESDC). I expect the growth figure will be around 1.2%. My own estimation, using the Output Approach and actual sectoral production index, gives a growth figure of 0.98%. Detailed data are in the below table.