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OPINION

Thailand must manage debt to progress

Oped, Chartchai Parasuk, Published on 22/01/2026

» This article may be read as a continuation of my previous piece, Year of the Debt. That article focused mainly on household debt, which has already risen beyond the ability of Thai consumers to repay.

OPINION

2026 will be a year of debt struggles

Oped, Chartchai Parasuk, Published on 08/01/2026

» Forget GDP growth. Forget tourist arrivals. Forget export figures. In 2026, Thailand's overriding economic challenge will not be growth but debt repayment.

OPINION

Why gold matters in a changing world

Oped, Chartchai Parasuk, Published on 13/11/2025

» After reading my previous article, "Thailand has become the sick man of Asean", a good friend asked me what would happen to the Thai economy after becoming the sick man?

OPINION

Thailand has lost its last growth engine

Oped, Chartchai Parasuk, Published on 29/05/2025

» Thailand has lost its last engine of growth and people are abandoning hope for a decent life.

OPINION

Q2 GDP growth may be misleading

News, Chartchai Parasuk, Published on 22/08/2024

» I eagerly awaited the release of the Q2/2024 GDP growth figure which became available on Monday. The 2.3% growth figure, presented by the Office of the National Economic and Social Development Council (NESDC), did not surprise me. A friend had warned me that the quarterly growth could be as high as 2.5%, even though my estimation for the quarter was only 1.0%.

OPINION

A 4-win solution to the handout plan

News, Chartchai Parasuk, Published on 30/11/2023

» There could be a four-win solution to the 10,000-baht cash handout scheme.

OPINION

When times get tough, Thais party

News, Chartchai Parasuk, Published on 07/09/2023

» Today's article is far from being sarcastic towards or mocking Thais. On the contrary, it explains the current weakness of the economy and, more importantly, the serious implications for the effectiveness of the government's economic stimulus packages. So, this article is recommended reading for the new economic team.

OPINION

A new middle class and core industries

Oped, Chartchai Parasuk, Published on 04/05/2023

» This article, after a few interruptions, is Part 3 of "Changing Thailand: The Series." It began with a prologue that presented an overview, emphasising that Thailand has been lagging behind its neighbours in terms of per-capita income growth.

OPINION

Putting a dampener on Thai recovery

Oped, Chartchai Parasuk, Published on 26/01/2023

» After three years in which the economy suffered from Covid effects, I am sorry to say that 2023 will not be the year of economic recovery as everyone had hoped. The global economy will still be plagued by inflation threats and several adverse factors such as excessive debt and the Russia-Ukraine war. These negative factors prompted the World Bank to revise its global economic growth prospects downward from 3.0% to 1.7% for 2023. The key point is a marked slowdown from 2.9% growth in 2022.

OPINION

How are Thais spending so much now?

Oped, Chartchai Parasuk, Published on 01/12/2022

» Third-quarter GDP growth for 2022 (Q3/2022) is 4.5% -- substantially higher than the expected 4%. The main driving factor is robust private consumption -- not tourism income -- which expanded 9% in real terms and 15.7% in nominal terms, compared to the same quarter last year. On the surface, this high growth phenomenon may look normal as most Asean countries have enjoyed similar benefits of low Covid infections and pent-up demand. For instance, Malaysia's private consumption also expanded 15.7% in the same third quarter.