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OPINION

Dealing with Trump is half the story

Oped, Chartchai Parasuk, Published on 07/08/2025

» This will be an eye-opening article. It is an analysis that readers have not read anywhere. No one seems to realise that after a mega-earthquake in the ocean, giant tsunamis will always follow. If Donald Trump's reciprocal tariffs are comparable to a mega economic earthquake, President Xi Jinping's reactions will have the impact of a giant economic tsunami.

OPINION

BoT, govt may have wrong inflation data

Oped, Chartchai Parasuk, Published on 17/10/2024

» At the time of writing (Tuesday), the Bank of Thailand's Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) had not met to decide on the policy interest rate which is currently set at 2.50%. The panel was scheduled to meet yesterday and the committee was under pressure to lower the rate by 25 basis points. The pressure arises from many months of low inflation rates and the recent strong Thai baht. Several central banks in the region have cut their policy interest rates for those two reasons. The latest one is the Bank of Korea.

OPINION

How to finance the 2025 fiscal budget

Oped, Chartchai Parasuk, Published on 27/06/2024

» The 2025 fiscal budget is supposed to be historic, aiming to turn around the sagging Thai economy. But it is going by almost unnoticed. The first reading of the Budget Bill passed with an overwhelming "yes" vote of 311 to 175. The debates were subdued and made few headlines. The second vote is expected on Aug 3. After passing the third vote by the House of Representatives, the 2025 budget will go to the Senate for final approval.

OPINION

Reviving Thai economy is a tall order

Oped, Chartchai Parasuk, Published on 27/07/2023

» By the time readers read this article, Thailand still does not have a real government. But judging from the game being played, it is not too hard to guess which party will lead a new government.

OPINION

In the end, economic theories prevail

Oped, Chartchai Parasuk, Published on 02/06/2022

» I have made several dire predictions for the Thai economy this year such as high inflation, a liquidity crisis, interest rate hikes, bank collapses, a currency run, and, of course, an economic recession.

OPINION

China, US woes will spell Thai gloom

Oped, Chartchai Parasuk, Published on 18/11/2021

» On Nov 10, there was a drama in the international financial market. DMSA, a German financial market watchdog, issued a press release stating that China Evergrande Group defaulted on interest payments to international investors and was preparing bankruptcy proceedings.

OPINION

Money to boost economy tough to find

Oped, Chartchai Parasuk, Published on 29/04/2021

» Wow. What a difference two weeks makes! In my previous article, I wrote, with grave concern, that over 6,000 people had been infected with Covid-19 within just two weeks of the third outbreak. Two weeks later, the number of cases from the third wave alone, which started early this month, has skyrocketed five-fold to over 30,000 cases. Who knows when and how this round will end?

OPINION

Stagflation is now a reality for Thailand

News, Chartchai Parasuk, Published on 19/12/2019

» I first encountered this word, a combination of "stagnation" and "inflation", in an economics textbook. Stagflation depicts an unusual situation whereby an economy experiences both a slowdown and high inflation at the same time. A textbook example is the US economy of the early 1970s, which suffered 9% unemployment along with 12% inflation. The culprit was a doubling of world oil prices which pushed the US economy into a recession and raised the cost of goods and services.