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OPINION

Oil shock risks wider chain reaction

Oped, Chartchai Parasuk, Published on 16/04/2026

» There is no such thing as a free lunch. When global oil prices rise sharply, as they are doing now, someone must bear the cost. Some countries choose to absorb it through government support, as in Japan, while others pass the burden on to consumers, as in Thailand. Neither approach is inherently right or wrong; each carries different economic consequences. Policymakers must decide which set of outcomes is more acceptable and act accordingly.

OPINION

Risk of crisis growing more acute

Oped, Chartchai Parasuk, Published on 05/03/2026

» This article is a follow-up to my previous piece titled "Fiscal deficit will trigger 2026 crisis". In that article, I argued Thailand's heavy dependence on external liquidity, combined with the government's need for 860 billion baht annually to finance its deficits, would lead to a severe liquidity shortage and, ultimately, a financial crisis.

OPINION

Fiscal deficit will trigger 2026 crisis

Oped, Chartchai Parasuk, Published on 19/02/2026

» If readers want to be fully convinced that there will be a financial crisis in 2026, I can do that in three minutes. Readers need only look at the last two columns of the attached table, which depict the financing situation of the Thai economy in 2025 (actual) and 2026 (projected).

OPINION

In an uncertain world, gold is a comfort

Oped, Chartchai Parasuk, Published on 05/02/2026

» With Thai citizens heading to the polls this Sunday to decide which party will form the next government, I have decided to postpone my article on the economic crisis for another two weeks.

OPINION

Thailand must manage debt to progress

Oped, Chartchai Parasuk, Published on 22/01/2026

» This article may be read as a continuation of my previous piece, Year of the Debt. That article focused mainly on household debt, which has already risen beyond the ability of Thai consumers to repay.

OPINION

Policy options for an overvalued baht

Oped, Chartchai Parasuk, Published on 25/12/2025

» This is the last article of 2025. I have to thank readers for following my articles throughout the years. I believe I wrote my first article for the Bangkok Post in January 2020. So, it has been a five-year collaboration with the paper. Thank you, Bangkok Post.

OPINION

Why gold matters in a changing world

Oped, Chartchai Parasuk, Published on 13/11/2025

» After reading my previous article, "Thailand has become the sick man of Asean", a good friend asked me what would happen to the Thai economy after becoming the sick man?

OPINION

Tariff talks are unlikely to go as planned

Oped, Chartchai Parasuk, Published on 24/07/2025

» It is only a week away from the Aug 1 deadline when the 36% reciprocal tariff levied on Thai exports to the US will take effect.

OPINION

The two ways to satisfy Trump on trade

Oped, Chartchai Parasuk, Published on 10/07/2025

» I am terribly sorry for miscalculating the US's reciprocal tariff for Thailand at 35% in my previous article, when the actual rate imposed by Mr Trump on Monday was 36%.

OPINION

Don't let politics mask economic woes

Oped, Chartchai Parasuk, Published on 26/06/2025

» As if economic problems in Thailand are not bad enough, political issues add to the complications. The worst is the split in the coalition. Even with an overwhelming majority of 314 (out of 493 parliamentary seats) prior to the break-up, the government could not push for many major policies, including the 10,000 baht cash handout scheme.