Showing 1 - 10 of 13
Dealing with Trump is half the story
Oped, Chartchai Parasuk, Published on 07/08/2025
» This will be an eye-opening article. It is an analysis that readers have not read anywhere. No one seems to realise that after a mega-earthquake in the ocean, giant tsunamis will always follow. If Donald Trump's reciprocal tariffs are comparable to a mega economic earthquake, President Xi Jinping's reactions will have the impact of a giant economic tsunami.
BoT ought to revise exchange rate policy
Oped, Chartchai Parasuk, Published on 26/09/2024
» This is not the usual time slot for my article. My articles are usually published every other Thursday. The next one was for Oct 3. However, I feel that the "too strong" Thai baht requires immediate attention.
Stark reality behind economic figures
Oped, Chartchai Parasuk, Published on 16/05/2024
» At the time of writing this, the official Q1 GDP has not been announced by the National Economic and Social Development Council (NESDC). I expect the growth figure will be around 1.2%. My own estimation, using the Output Approach and actual sectoral production index, gives a growth figure of 0.98%. Detailed data are in the below table.
World economy downhill from here
Oped, Chartchai Parasuk, Published on 17/11/2022
» When I planned for this week's article, I wanted to write about the illusions of today's economic picture such as the robust GDP growth in emerging economies, declining inflation rates, booming travel business, strengthening of the Thai baht, and so on. But even with the economic data and theories to back up my claims, who would believe me? Who would believe that the current robust demand is nothing but an example of short-term, pent-up demand after two years of the Covid-19 outbreak? Who would consider the fact that consumers have no increased purchasing power to sustain today's level of consumption? Most of all, who would imagine that things would change drastically in the fourth quarter after consumers face the reality of a higher cost of living and stagnant income?
Risk of global financial crisis spiking
Oped, Chartchai Parasuk, Published on 03/11/2022
» I am writing this article in Tokyo. Judging from my walks around the city during the past week, and despite the fact everyone is wearing face masks, it's like Covid has vanished. Subways and trains are jam-packed and shopping areas are full of people. However, the pandemic has left some scars. Many shops have gone under, including my favourite 50-year-old sushi restaurant.
Thai reserves are quickly depleting
News, Chartchai Parasuk, Published on 08/09/2022
» Thailand's international reserves made headlines in mid-July when they fell US$3.3 billion in a single week.
Yuan won't outrank dollar anytime soon
Oped, Chartchai Parasuk, Published on 07/04/2022
» The issue of the Chinese yuan as a premier international currency has been around for quite some time. Right now, only 3% of international trade transaction is conducted in yuan and, correspondingly, central banks around the world keep only 3% of their international reserves in Yuan. To most, this is quite puzzling as China is the world's second-largest economy with a GDP portion of 13.04% of world GDP and is the world's largest exporter with a global market share of 14.7%.
Economic growth in 2022 no mean feat
Oped, Chartchai Parasuk, Published on 10/02/2022
» Most economic research houses, government and private, projected Thailand would see GDP growth of 3.5-4% this year. Even the Joint Standing Committee of Commerce, Industry, and Banking, an organisation representing Thai business entities, supported that range.
Weighing the value of cryptocurrencies
Oped, Chartchai Parasuk, Published on 16/12/2021
» I am sure that almost everybody has heard about cryptocurrencies. Some might even be investing in them. But few understand what are they really for and, most importantly, how should they be valued? As of Dec 15, one Bitcoin had a market price of US$48,144 (slightly over 1.6 million baht per coin).
Get past the Thai-China trade deficit
Oped, Chartchai Parasuk, Published on 16/09/2021
» This is not a China bashing article. The idea for today's article started when the Minister of Foreign Affairs and Speaker of the House cautioned Thais, the press, and members of parliament against criticising Chinese Covid-19 vaccines as it might upset the Thai-China relationship.